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Prediction markets for Project Europe

Will "Rail Baltica" be operational by mid-2030?

May 21, 10:38 AMJul 1, 8:59 PM

11.73%chance

225161

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2052

747

Will Rail Baltica be completed by the end of 2026?

Aug 13, 8:08 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

1%chance

135065

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5384

829

When will Russia attack Europe with military force?

Nov 18, 7:18 AMMar 19, 10:59 PM

412191

OptionProbability

Never

Before end of 2029

In 2034 or later

Before end of 2033

70

22

6

2

Will the UK government approve the proposed Chinese embassy at the Royal Mint before 2026?

Oct 17, 3:20 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

5%chance

8830

OptionVotes

YES

NO

436

23

In what year will the Jeddah Tower be open to the public?

Apr 23, 3:05 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

5658

OptionProbability

2029

2030

2031

Demolished

Other

2028

2027

38

12

12

12

12

7

5

Where will the Einstein Telescope be built?

Apr 14, 12:39 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

6479

OptionProbability

Sardinia, Italy

Border region of the Netherlands, Belgium and Germany

Saxony, Germany

Other

Luxembourg

44

21

17

15

3

Will the UK government approve the proposed Chinese embassy at the Royal Mint before 2027?

Oct 17, 3:20 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

92.76%chance

3318

OptionVotes

NO

YES

358

28

Will the ECB (deposit facility) interest rate be negative before 2033?

Apr 14, 1:10 AMDec 3, 12:00 PM

16.88%chance

10261

OptionVotes

YES

NO

334

106

Will Hubris ship in a non-Oxide Computer Company product this decade?

Sep 1, 12:23 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

45.25%chance

15

OptionVotes

YES

NO

75

65

Should I launch COINditionner — a crypto token that sends 10% of all revenue to improve the environment in Europe?

Aug 2, 9:05 PMDec 31, 9:59 PM

100

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