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Prediction markets for Project Europe

When will Russia attack Europe with military force?

Nov 18, 7:18 AMMar 19, 10:59 PM

575964

OptionProbability

Never

Before end of 2033

Before end of 2029

In 2034 or later

33

27

24

16

Will "Rail Baltica" be operational by mid-2030?

May 21, 10:38 AMJul 1, 8:59 PM

11.12%chance

235262

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2144

735

Will Rail Baltica be completed by the end of 2026?

Aug 13, 8:08 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

1%chance

135065

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5384

829

In what year will the Jeddah Tower be open to the public?

Apr 23, 3:05 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

6893

OptionProbability

2030

2029

Other

2031

Demolished

2028

2027

25

24

17

15

10

8

2

Where will the Einstein Telescope be built?

Apr 14, 12:39 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

7579

OptionProbability

Sardinia, Italy

Border region of the Netherlands, Belgium and Germany

Saxony, Germany

Other

Luxembourg

38

23

20

14

4

Will the ECB (deposit facility) interest rate be negative before 2033?

Apr 14, 1:10 AMDec 3, 12:00 PM

15.58%chance

11281

OptionVotes

YES

NO

354

102

Will Deutsche Bahn sell its subsidiary DB International Operations in 2026?

Jan 26, 9:14 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

41.66%chance

7100

OptionVotes

YES

NO

118

85

Will Hubris ship in a non-Oxide Computer Company product this decade?

Sep 1, 12:23 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

45.25%chance

15

OptionVotes

YES

NO

75

65

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