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Prediction markets for Project Europe

When will Russia attack Europe with military force?

Nov 18, 7:18 AMMar 19, 10:59 PM

545826

OptionProbability

Before end of 2033

Never

Before end of 2029

In 2034 or later

31

30

25

14

Will "Rail Baltica" be operational by mid-2030?

May 21, 10:38 AMJul 1, 8:59 PM

11.12%chance

235262

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2144

735

Will Rail Baltica be completed by the end of 2026?

Aug 13, 8:08 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

1%chance

135065

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5384

829

In what year will the Jeddah Tower be open to the public?

Apr 23, 3:05 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

6893

OptionProbability

2030

2029

Other

2031

Demolished

2028

2027

25

24

17

15

10

8

2

Where will the Einstein Telescope be built?

Apr 14, 12:39 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

7579

OptionProbability

Sardinia, Italy

Border region of the Netherlands, Belgium and Germany

Saxony, Germany

Other

Luxembourg

38

23

20

14

4

Will the ECB (deposit facility) interest rate be negative before 2033?

Apr 14, 1:10 AMDec 3, 12:00 PM

15.58%chance

11281

OptionVotes

YES

NO

354

102

Which of these OTHER central European cities will I most enjoy?

Sep 11, 9:00 PMOct 11, 8:59 PM

4214

OptionProbability

Munich (3 nights)

Zurich (3 nights)

Strasbourg (2 nights)

Berlin (6 nights)

Brussels (4 nights)

20

20

20

20

19

Will Deutsche Bahn sell its subsidiary DB International Operations in 2026?

Jan 26, 9:14 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

53.44%chance

675

OptionVotes

NO

YES

107

93

Will Hubris ship in a non-Oxide Computer Company product this decade?

Sep 1, 12:23 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

45.25%chance

15

OptionVotes

YES

NO

75

65

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