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Prediction markets for Project Rise

Will climate change decimate humans before 2050?

Oct 31, 6:40 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

9.61%chance

15595688

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5993

3912

Will the S&P 500 close above 7883.34 on December 31, 2026?

Jan 6, 2:50 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

29.75%chance

3019292

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1537

651

Will climate change decimate humans before 2070?

Nov 2, 12:54 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

15.95%chance

315194

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1056

963

Will climate change decimate humans before 2090?

Nov 2, 12:55 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

19.11%chance

504861

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1183

894

What will the US national debt be after the Trump administration?

Mar 5, 8:50 PMDec 1, 7:59 AM

101181

OptionProbability

40 - 49.9

50 - 59.9

30 - 39.9

Below 20

20 - 29.9

Above 60

85

8

3

1

1

1

Will OMIE Spain 2028 annual average wholesale price exceed €65/MWh?

May 4, 8:35 PMMay 31, 11:00 PM

45.46%chance

2751

OptionVotes

YES

NO

10751

9328

Will the US concede Taiwan to the PRC before 2030?

Mar 1, 4:06 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

25.32%chance

10544

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1063

784

American life expectancy decreases in 2025?

Apr 26, 2:32 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

14.95%chance

10397

OptionVotes

YES

NO

239

42

Will global vanadium production (mine + co-product, contained V) in 2027 be at least 140,000 tonnes of V?

Nov 26, 5:36 AMMar 29, 10:59 PM

45.27%chance

6255

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1100

909

China implements 30+ infrastructure connectivity projects in Africa by EOY 2027?

Nov 26, 3:39 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

68.04%chance

7235

OptionVotes

NO

YES

146

69

UK imposes net migration cap below 150,000 by 2030?

Dec 19, 8:46 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

50%chance

122

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

Will OMIE Spain 2027 annual average wholesale price exceed €60/MWh?

May 4, 8:35 PMMay 31, 11:00 PM

55.99%chance

11

OptionVotes

YES

NO

10001

9999

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