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Prediction markets for Project Rise

Will climate change decimate humans before 2050?

Oct 31, 6:40 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

8.17%chance

14490454

OptionVotes

YES

NO

6984

3816

Will climate change decimate humans before 2070?

Nov 2, 12:54 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

17.46%chance

295092

OptionVotes

NO

YES

982

965

Will climate change decimate humans before 2090?

Nov 2, 12:55 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

20.88%chance

474636

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1087

918

📈 US unemployment above 4.5% before 2029?

Jun 10, 11:27 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

83.52%chance

81460

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2251

444

What will the US national debt be after the Trump administration?

Mar 5, 8:50 PMDec 1, 7:59 AM

10997

OptionProbability

40 - 49.9

50 - 59.9

30 - 39.9

Below 20

20 - 29.9

Above 60

56

32

7

2

2

2

Will global carbon emissions decrease in 2025 compared to 2024 levels?

Jan 2, 10:00 AMJun 30, 9:59 PM

20.02%chance

24964

OptionVotes

YES

NO

343

136

American life expectancy decreases in 2025?

Apr 26, 2:32 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

37.71%chance

8287

OptionVotes

YES

NO

129

78

Will global vanadium production (mine + co-product, contained V) in 2027 be at least 140,000 tonnes of V?

Nov 26, 5:36 AMMar 29, 10:59 PM

47.09%chance

3136

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1060

943

China implements 30+ infrastructure connectivity projects in Africa by EOY 2027?

Nov 26, 3:39 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

77.7%chance

4127

OptionVotes

NO

YES

187

54

If AI were the internet, what year would we be in with regards to progress and maturity

Feb 16, 11:53 PM

250

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