Protagonist News

Does Martingale betting have zero expected value even with unlimited funds? (note caveats)

Nov 12, 8:51 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

16.34%chance

4853458

OptionVotes

YES

2009

482

Next Star Wars mainline film (Episode X?) 🪐👾 [Megamarket/Prop bets]

Mar 11, 8:59 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

301720

OptionProbability

Is marketed as Episode X

Red lightsaber on screen

Will be announced before 2028

Blue lightsaber on screen

Green lightsaber on screen

The "Millennium Falcon" is on screen or mentioned

Trailer out before 2028 (teaser counts)

New droid companion

"Darth Sidious" or "Palpatine" is mentioned

A character is a Skywalker (by blood, name does not matter)

Is defined as part of a trilogy, before its premier date

Tie fighters on screen

"Darth Vader" is mentioned

A dead character has spoken lines

A dead person appears as something like a ~spirit

Oscar Isaac returns in his previous role

Strong, quasi-masculine-presenting female lead character

Scantily clad hypersexualized female characters

Movie contains reference to upcoming movie (e.g. "to be continued")

Digital version of dead actor plays a role

Any actor from the original trilogy plays the same role

Yellow lightsaber on screen

Scores ≥7.5 on IMDB exactly one month after release

There will be a new lightsaber based weapon form we haven’t seen before (like Kylo’s light saber hilt).

John Boyega returns in his previous role

Taxes are mentioned

Droid dances

Using the force to choke someone

Death Star mentioned

Flashback to a period clearly overlapping with movies I-IX

Blue milk on screen

Adam Driver returns in his previous role

Purple lightsaber on screen

Cantina band song remix

Sole director credit to Sharmeen Obaid-Chinoy

Will NOT be announced before 2030

Main character is not human

Somehow, Palpatine returned

The word "rationalussy" is spoken

Halo Infinite sequel release?

Jun 4, 12:18 PMJun 4, 12:16 PM

91105

OptionProbability

2030

Other

2029

2028

2027

2026

2025

Will DiCaprio be the main protagonist in Martin Scorsese's next film The Wager?

Oct 27, 4:18 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

1.32%chance

41021

OptionVotes

YES

977

Will cybernetic body modification technologies become commonplace in developed countries by 2077?

Dec 21, 10:38 PMJan 1, 6:59 AM

78.59%chance

27827

OptionVotes

YES

1213

908

Which upcoming 2026 superhero/comic book movie wins the triple crown: fans, critics, cash?

Mar 23, 1:27 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

8341

OptionProbability

Spider-Man: Brand New Day

Other

Avengers: Doomsday

Supergirl

Clayface

Is repligate the real main protagonist of ready player one

Aug 3, 4:34 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

9.9%chance

3205

OptionVotes

YES

302

[Order of the Stick] Will the Order visit Klxba'f nfgeny sbegerff before the end of the comic?

May 17, 1:14 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

51.81%chance

7191

OptionVotes

YES

153

Will any movie in the Fast and Furious franchise up to the 12th have a robotic protagonist?

May 10, 10:18 AMMay 10, 1:59 PM

23.58%chance

140

OptionVotes

YES

Will someone stream themselves playing Pokemon Red/Silver/any other version & enter %Protagonist's name as Jeremy Nixon?

Oct 28, 11:02 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

54.75%chance

110

OptionVotes

YES

110

Who do you think will die first of the protagonists of 2001: A Space Odyssey Keir Dullea or Gary Lockwood?

Nov 14, 2:50 AM

Isn't janus/repligate the ideal protagonist for Hellblade: Senua's Sacrifice III?

Sep 16, 4:47 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

Protagonist News

Prediction markets for Protagonist

Prediction markets for Protagonist

Prediction markets for Protagonist

Does Martingale betting have zero expected value even with unlimited funds? (note caveats)

Next Star Wars mainline film (Episode X?) 🪐👾 [Megamarket/Prop bets]

Halo Infinite sequel release?

Will DiCaprio be the main protagonist in Martin Scorsese's next film The Wager?

Will cybernetic body modification technologies become commonplace in developed countries by 2077?

Which upcoming 2026 superhero/comic book movie wins the triple crown: fans, critics, cash?

Is repligate the real main protagonist of ready player one

[Order of the Stick] Will the Order visit Klxba'f nfgeny sbegerff before the end of the comic?

Will any movie in the Fast and Furious franchise up to the 12th have a robotic protagonist?

Will someone stream themselves playing Pokemon Red/Silver/any other version & enter %Protagonist's name as Jeremy Nixon?

Who do you think will die first of the protagonists of 2001: A Space Odyssey Keir Dullea or Gary Lockwood?

Isn't janus/repligate the ideal protagonist for Hellblade: Senua's Sacrifice III?

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