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Prediction markets for Protection

GOLD/MANA (MANA inflation protection fund)

Jul 31, 2:37 PM

1912288

OptionProbability

NO

YES

4359

229

Will I still feel that it is important to protect my social security number (SSN) in 2050?

Apr 5, 4:33 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM

46.49%chance

341882

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1025

936

Will SCOTUS rule that gender identity is not a protected class before 2028?

Apr 30, 12:12 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

72.51%chance

261747

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1425

776

Will there be laws protecting genetically modified humans from hate crimes in the USA by the end of 2060?

Apr 4, 8:40 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

26.75%chance

151031

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1046

950

Will at least some AIs receive legal protections against cruelty in the U.S. before 2050?

Aug 6, 1:19 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

72.62%chance

21788

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1024

968

Will abortion in the first trimester (ish) have substantive federal protection in 2030?

Aug 3, 3:31 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

39.89%chance

12685

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1034

929

Will there be laws protecting digital artificial intelligences from hate crimes in the USA by the end of 2060?

Apr 4, 8:40 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

54.79%chance

13635

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1291

649

Will abortion in the first trimester (ish) have substantive federal protection in 2040?

Aug 3, 3:32 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

47%chance

16439

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1001

998

Apple's Advanced Data Protection feature remains available in the United States through December 31, 2028

Feb 14, 5:07 AMJan 1, 12:00 AM

63.71%chance

3325

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1330

760

Will an anti-discrimination law be enacted to protect U.S. federal employees who have been genetically-edited or screened as embryos by 2100?

Jun 30, 1:31 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

46.69%chance

10109

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1011

989

Will the EU regulate geo-blocking of copyright protected content by EOY 2027?

Feb 26, 8:39 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

52.31%chance

1198

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1003

997

Will Joshua A. Harrill still be at the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) by EOY2026?

Dec 19, 7:58 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

60.81%chance

353

OptionVotes

NO

YES

125

80

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