Providence Health News

Will GiveWell fund Electronic partogram by 1st January 2027?

Dec 18, 12:54 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

25.5%chance

1812354

OptionVotes

YES

9625

2195

Will GiveWell fund Post-discharge malaria chemoprevention (PMC) for children with severe anemia by 1st January 2027?

Dec 17, 6:26 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

23.08%chance

127430

OptionVotes

YES

7704

2333

Will GiveWell fund Sayana® Press by 1st January 2027?

Dec 17, 4:49 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

15.58%chance

156839

OptionVotes

YES

8427

3028

Will GiveWell fund probiotic supplementation for preterm newborns by 1st January 2027?

Dec 17, 4:42 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

29.71%chance

156504

OptionVotes

YES

6529

2770

Will GiveWell fund Community health promoters (eg those run by Living Goods) by 1st January 2027?

Dec 17, 7:05 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

22.01%chance

175392

OptionVotes

YES

9916

2845

Medicaid requires employment (work requirement) in 2026?

May 1, 8:47 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

17.72%chance

101155

OptionVotes

YES

2155

464

Will a war resulting in over one million fatalities within one year occur before 2035?

Jun 1, 6:33 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

34.36%chance

201053

OptionVotes

YES

1126

908

What will AI's contribution to the economy look like in 2030?

Oct 8, 6:00 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

14863

OptionProbability

AI produces highly-customized forms of entertainment

Other

AI is integrated into IDEs and provides suggestions to programmers

AI is used for drug discovery

Managers consult AI while making decisions

AI is integrated into compilers and makes code run faster

AI designs hardware for industrial processes

AI chatbots provide mental health support, boosting productivity

Will Trump threaten to cut healthcare providers' federal funding over mental health medication?

Feb 16, 6:25 PMJan 21, 4:59 AM

4.53%chance

10534

OptionVotes

YES

459

If I die, will I be successfully cryopreserved?

Jul 24, 9:53 PMDec 31, 10:46 PM

60.34%chance

7337

OptionVotes

YES

1233

811

Will abortion be legalized in Texas by 2030 for adults?

Nov 7, 3:05 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

52.12%chance

375

OptionVotes

YES

1043

958

Will the US make healthcare insurance coverage not specific to insurance providers by 2050?

Mar 14, 12:27 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

54.75%chance

212

OptionVotes

YES

150

131

Providence Health News

Prediction markets for Providence Health

Prediction markets for Providence Health

Prediction markets for Providence Health

Will GiveWell fund Electronic partogram by 1st January 2027?

Will GiveWell fund Post-discharge malaria chemoprevention (PMC) for children with severe anemia by 1st January 2027?

Will GiveWell fund Sayana® Press by 1st January 2027?

Will GiveWell fund probiotic supplementation for preterm newborns by 1st January 2027?

Will GiveWell fund Community health promoters (eg those run by Living Goods) by 1st January 2027?

Medicaid requires employment (work requirement) in 2026?

Will a war resulting in over one million fatalities within one year occur before 2035?

What will AI's contribution to the economy look like in 2030?

Will Trump threaten to cut healthcare providers' federal funding over mental health medication?

If I die, will I be successfully cryopreserved?

Will abortion be legalized in Texas by 2030 for adults?

Will the US make healthcare insurance coverage not specific to insurance providers by 2050?

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