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Prediction markets for Proxima

Where will the first-known extraterrestrial life come from?

Aug 24, 8:33 PMDec 31, 10:59 AM

221750

OptionProbability

Other

Enceladus

Mars

Europa

Titan

Venus

Luna (presumably in a shaded crater/magma tube)

K2-18 b

Earth

The Big Bang

Ceres

Pluto/Charon

Triton

Pluto

Charon

TRAPPIST-1d

Proxima Centauri b

Unknown

25

22

20

15

10

4

4

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

What will be the next fusion project to reach Q=1 scientific breakeven?

Feb 27, 6:28 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

10802

OptionProbability

Commonwealth Fusion

Zap Energy

Helion

Other

Ante

Tokamak Energy

TAE

ITER

Renaissance Fusion

Marvel Fusion

Proxima Fusion

Type One Energy

Thea Energy

Stellarex

52

28

19

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

🌌👽🌌 What is ET's star sign? 🌌👽🌌

Mar 3, 5:33 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

4317

OptionProbability

Aries ♈

Gemini ♊

Cancer ♋

Leo ♌

Virgo ♍

Scorpio ♎

Capricorn ♑

Aquarius ♒

Pisces ♓

Taurus ♉

Libra ♎

Sagittarius ♐

9

9

9

9

9

9

9

9

9

8

7

7

Will the economy in 2048 be at least six times the size it is today?

Jul 18, 1:59 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

37.78%chance

10249

OptionVotes

NO

YES

149

138

Will we send a spacecraft/probe or Jose Luis ricon to the proxima centauri/alpha centauri system by 2065?

Apr 16, 2:41 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

29.36%chance

6133

OptionVotes

YES

NO

237

171

How many distinct celestial bodies will be known in Alpha Centauri system in 2030?

May 2, 11:22 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

475

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