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Top stories

Mélenchon and LFI Back 'Bloquons tout' Blockade on Sept 10, Call to Censure Bayrou Amid Budget Cuts and Social Grievances

Mélenchon and LFI Back 'Bloquons tout' Blockade on Sept 10, Call to Censure Bayrou Amid Budget Cuts and Social Grievances

Authors

16

7 months ago

Prediction markets for PS

In 2040, will expert consensus suggest there are strong innate psychological differences by biological sex?

Mar 15, 1:46 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

53.1%chance

8512884

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1377

1032

Will expert consensus suggest there are strong innate psychological differences by biological sex? (Excluding: sex desire)

Apr 2, 5:39 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

57.33%chance

438578

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1160

825

[ACX 2026] Will the FDA approve a psilocybin treatment during 2026?

Jan 6, 11:02 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

13.94%chance

177909

OptionVotes

YES

NO

8068

4441

Will the Current Spanish Coalition of PSOE+SUMAR Govern Spain Until 2027, Completing a Full 4-Year Term?

Dec 26, 8:59 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

52.71%chance

316725

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1325

493

Gary Marcus prediction: physical reasoning of AI systems will improve before psychological reasoning

Jan 23, 8:50 PMJan 1, 6:00 AM

27.85%chance

363784

OptionVotes

YES

NO

997

978

Will Elon Musk blame psychoactive substance use for past Trump-era statements/actions at any point in his life

Feb 12, 1:31 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

37.26%chance

222440

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1483

783

Will California decriminalize psilocybin mushrooms before 2027?

Jan 14, 1:34 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

30.48%chance

301735

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1613

255

Will a psychedelic substance get de-scheduled by the US by 2030?

Oct 17, 1:32 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

43.7%chance

181006

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1378

363

Are Psychedelic Drugs Good for You?

Dec 31, 9:28 PMJan 31, 10:59 PM

49.54%chance

8619

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1009

991

Will at least 15% of US adults in 2030 have ever used psilocybin/magic mushrooms in their lifetimes?

Jan 29, 3:24 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

70.58%chance

15293

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1048

834

Will Final Fantasy 7 remake trilogy be completed and released for PS by the end of 2027?

May 24, 3:44 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

49.69%chance

6156

OptionVotes

YES

NO

127

83

Will gta 6 come out before the ps 6

Mar 17, 3:19 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

80.03%chance

284

OptionVotes

NO

YES

184

15

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