OptionProbability
Expansion of self-declared environmental licensing (e.g., PL 2159/21)
Regulation of the Tax Reform approved in 2023 (rules for the new IVA)
Amnesty for electoral fines for non-compliance with racial and gender quotas (e.g., PEC 9/23)
Time limit for the demarcation of Indigenous Lands (e.g., PEC 48/23 - "Marco Temporal das Terras Indígenas")
Legalization of gambling (e.g., PL 2234/22)
Constitutional prohibition of carrying any quantity of illicit drugs (e.g., PEC 45/23)
Some reform of military pensions
Mineral exploration in Conservation Units (e.g., PL 5822/19)
New law to regulate health plans (e.g., PL 7419/06)
Change of attribution for the demarcation of Indigenous Lands to Congress (e.g., PEC 59/23)
Reduction of the legal reserve proportion in the Amazon (e.g., PL 3334/23)
Prohibition of the reinstatement of Armed Forces members who leave the position to run in elections (e.g., PEC 42/23)
Attribution for states to legislate on the carrying and possession of firearms (e.g., PLP 108/23)
Change in percentages or rules for calculating the constitutional floor for health and/or education expenses
Return of the five-year bonus payment for the Public Ministry and public defenders (e.g., PEC 10/23)
Increase in the duration of paternity leave for all cases that currently have this right (e.g., PL 6216/23)
Criminalization of a legal hypothesis for abortion that is currently considered legal (e.g., PL 1904/24 - "PL do Estuprador")
Prohibition of plea bargains during preventive detention (e.g., PL 4372/16)
Creation of fixed-term mandates for Supreme Court justices (e.g., PEC 16/19)
Some increase in the responsibilities of digital platforms for false content ("PL das Fake News")
Obligation for digital platforms to pay for the distribution of journalistic content
End of re-election for executive authorities (e.g., PEC 15/07)
End of the Union's exclusive ownership of marine land (e.g., PEC 3/22 - "PEC das Praias")
Amnesty for those prosecuted for participating in the events of January 8, 2023 (e.g., PL 5064/23)
End of salary bonus ("Fim do abono salarial")
Impeachment of Lula
Impeachment of a Supreme Court Ministry
100
62
59
55
50
45
44
42
39
37
33
30
29
24
22
17
16
14
10
6
4
OptionVotes
YES
NO
1157
913
146
69
1335
774
298
264
98
51