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Top stories

Tokyo Police and Prosecutors Apologize to Family of Shizuo Aijima, Wrongfully Detained Ohkawara Adviser Who Died of Stomach Cancer

Tokyo Police and Prosecutors Apologize to Family of Shizuo Aijima, Wrongfully Detained Ohkawara Adviser Who Died of Stomach Cancer

Authors

20

3 months ago

Prediction markets for Public Security Department

US Govt acquires 5% of Boeing by 6/30/26?

Aug 23, 12:09 PMJun 30, 11:59 PM

15.24%chance

166052

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2358

424

Will Donald Trump's face appear on US currency before December 2028?

Feb 11, 6:35 PMDec 2, 4:59 AM

11.82%chance

204415

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2731

366

What countries would join Abraham Accords in 2025

Oct 13, 8:26 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

192227

OptionProbability

None

Kazakhstan

Azerbaijan

Saudi Arabia

Armenia

Indonesia

Syria

Qatar

Lebanon

74

28

24

14

10

6

5

3

2

Will the UK government approve the proposed Chinese embassy at the Royal Mint before 2026?

Oct 17, 3:20 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

5%chance

8830

OptionVotes

YES

NO

436

23

Will the UK government approve the proposed Chinese embassy at the Royal Mint before 2027?

Oct 17, 3:20 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

92.76%chance

3318

OptionVotes

NO

YES

358

28

In which years will the US Congress hold UFO/UAP hearings?

Nov 15, 4:05 PMJan 1, 3:59 AM

4281

OptionProbability

2025

2026

2027

2028

100

72

59

45

Will the UK introduce compulsory English lessons for adult migrants receiving public benefits before 2027?

Jul 21, 10:14 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

30%chance

9166

OptionVotes

YES

NO

153

65

Will the UK reach hydrogen-generated energy targets and related goals?

Jul 31, 5:53 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

00

OptionProbability

At least 1GW production capacity by 2025

At least 5GW production capacity by 2030

At least 10GW production capacity by 2035

Between 250-460TWh of hydrogen production by 2050

Less than 250TWh of hydrogen production by 2050

More than 460TWh of hydrogen production by 2050

50

50

50

50

50

50

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