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Top stories

Tokyo Police and Prosecutors Apologize to Family of Shizuo Aijima, Wrongfully Detained Ohkawara Adviser Who Died of Stomach Cancer

Tokyo Police and Prosecutors Apologize to Family of Shizuo Aijima, Wrongfully Detained Ohkawara Adviser Who Died of Stomach Cancer

Authors

20

5 months ago

Prediction markets for Public Security Department

US Govt acquires 5% of Boeing by 6/30/26?

Aug 23, 12:09 PMJun 30, 11:59 PM

8.19%chance

167052

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3379

301

Will China reinstate or enforce export restrictions on gallium after current suspension expires in Nov?

Dec 26, 5:09 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

30.01%chance

85507

OptionVotes

YES

NO

15284

6552

Will Donald Trump's face appear on US currency before December 2028?

Feb 11, 6:35 PMDec 2, 4:59 AM

28.72%chance

224761

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1575

635

Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by...?

Dec 30, 5:32 AMFeb 1, 4:59 AM

9832

OptionProbability

Dec 31, 2026

Jun 30, 2026

Jan 31, 2026

75

35

10

Will ICE cause an incident of note at the Olympics?

Jan 29, 5:06 AMFeb 22, 11:59 PM

28%chance

21533

OptionVotes

YES

NO

160

62

Will Iran and the United States reach an agreement by the end of February?

Feb 1, 6:18 PMFeb 28, 11:59 PM

8.13%chance

8370

OptionVotes

YES

NO

336

30

Will the UK introduce compulsory English lessons for adult migrants receiving public benefits before 2027?

Jul 21, 10:14 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

30%chance

9166

OptionVotes

YES

NO

153

65

Will the UK reach hydrogen-generated energy targets and related goals?

Jul 31, 5:53 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

00

OptionProbability

At least 1GW production capacity by 2025

At least 5GW production capacity by 2030

At least 10GW production capacity by 2035

Between 250-460TWh of hydrogen production by 2050

Less than 250TWh of hydrogen production by 2050

More than 460TWh of hydrogen production by 2050

50

50

50

50

50

50

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