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Top stories

Antonio and Maribel Espaillat Indicted for Involuntary Manslaughter After Jet Set Nightclub Roof Collapse Kills 236, Nearly 200 Injured; Released on Bail

Authors

9

1 month ago

Prediction markets for Public Works and Infrastructure

[MANA BOUNTY + USD BOUNTY] Will Manifold help me land a role I'm happy with by EOY 2025?

Jul 5, 12:41 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM

20.52%chance

3412373

OptionVotes

YES

NO

19679

5082

When will we have a KRANTZ capable system? (defined below)

Dec 10, 7:13 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

6229

OptionProbability

Within 12 months after Eliezer reviews my work.

2050

2100

2030

2040

2028

2029

2027

2026

2025

72

41

31

26

26

20

20

14

10

8

LNG import/export terminal destroyed for any reason before 2026.

Oct 1, 3:11 AMDec 31, 4:01 PM

44%chance

12171

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1006

993

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