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Prediction markets for Pyth

Which language will overtake Python as the most popular according to TIOBE index?

Mar 18, 11:52 AMFeb 1, 10:59 PM

404707

OptionProbability

Other

C

C++

JavaScript

Zig

TypeScript

Rust

Java

Mojo

C#

Go

Kotlin

Scratch

Julia

Scala

Swift

37

14

11

10

7

5

3

3

3

1

1

1

1

1

1

0

Will we reverse-engineer a language model into an interpretable (python) program by 2027?

Nov 26, 12:22 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

3.92%chance

364278

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2791

841

Will Python be replaced as the go-to programming language for AI development by the end of 2040?

Jan 5, 8:35 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

83.68%chance

463528

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1811

685

Will Mojo displace Python as the language of most AI papers on Arxiv by 2026

May 5, 2:52 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

3.74%chance

162116

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2329

885

[Metaculus] Will Python still be most popular programming language at the end of 2030?

Apr 15, 2:22 PMJan 2, 5:00 PM

71.07%chance

431455

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1069

952

There will be a Python6.9 before the year 2069

Feb 14, 8:34 AMDec 31, 6:29 PM

12.55%chance

211076

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1456

891

Will Python 4 be released before 2030?

Feb 3, 3:16 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

9.91%chance

18969

OptionVotes

YES

NO

301

33

Will Mojo displace Python as the language of most AI papers on Arxiv by 2030

May 5, 6:01 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

13.45%chance

18724

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1470

888

When will Python 3.13 readiness reach 75%?

May 13, 7:36 PMMay 13, 7:34 PM

3580

OptionProbability

Before January 2028

Before July 2027

Before July 2026

Before January 2027

Before July 2025

Before January 2026

94

76

66

66

1

1

Will Python remain a leading language until 2028 with or without the GIL?

Jan 16, 10:05 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

12440

OptionProbability

If Python removes the GIL; Python remains leading language

If Python keeps the GIL; Python remains leading language

85

85

When will Python development tool uv overtake Poetry in JetBrains surveys?

Nov 20, 11:05 AMDec 31, 12:00 AM

2130

OptionProbability

2025

2026

2027

2028

Later or never

2024

17

17

17

17

17

15

In January 2028, will Polars have supplanted Pandas for Python data frames? (More monthly downloads)

Feb 3, 3:33 PMFeb 2, 7:59 AM

17.81%chance

5117

OptionVotes

YES

NO

215

47

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