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Prediction markets for Python

Will we reverse-engineer a language model into an interpretable (python) program by 2027?

Nov 26, 12:22 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

4.34%chance

354028

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2541

852

Will Python be replaced as the go-to programming language for AI development by the end of 2040?

Jan 5, 8:35 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

83.68%chance

463528

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1811

685

Will Mojo displace Python as the language of most AI papers on Arxiv by 2026

May 5, 2:52 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

3.74%chance

162116

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2329

885

[Metaculus] Will Python still be most popular programming language at the end of 2030?

Apr 15, 2:22 PMJan 2, 5:00 PM

70.93%chance

421450

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1064

954

Will Python 4 be released before 2030?

Feb 3, 3:16 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

10.55%chance

18940

OptionVotes

YES

NO

291

34

Will Mojo displace Python as the language of most AI papers on Arxiv by 2030

May 5, 6:01 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

13.45%chance

18724

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1470

888

Will Python remain a leading language until 2028 with or without the GIL?

Jan 16, 10:05 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

12440

OptionProbability

If Python removes the GIL; Python remains leading language

If Python keeps the GIL; Python remains leading language

85

85

Will there be more software engineers (the kind that write code, e.g. Python or C or JavaScript code) in 5 years?

Jun 11, 5:08 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

71.07%chance

8225

OptionVotes

NO

YES

157

64

Astral maintains uv Python package manager for free through 2027?

Oct 31, 10:03 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

65.41%chance

4218

OptionVotes

NO

YES

138

73

When will Python development tool uv overtake Poetry in JetBrains surveys?

Nov 20, 11:05 AMDec 31, 12:00 AM

2130

OptionProbability

2025

2026

2027

2028

Later or never

2024

17

17

17

17

17

15

Will I still consider uv the best Python package manager at the end of 2026?

Mar 18, 8:02 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

82.18%chance

8119

OptionVotes

NO

YES

465

297

Hot Python Github Repos at EoY 2028

Jun 9, 4:26 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

470

OptionProbability

Other

free-programming-books

Python

67

22

11

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