Q1 News
Top stories
Prediction markets for Q1
UK gov accepts all 47 Fingleton nuclear review recommendations by Q1 2026?
Nov 29, 7:47 PMMar 31, 11:59 PM
17.55%chance
3136474
OptionVotes
15558
5160
OptionVotes
3192
313
Will Congress pass a bill by the end of Q1 2025 that mandates customer service operations to be located inside the USA?
Nov 23, 3:14 PMMar 31, 11:59 PM
7.99%chance
204547
OptionVotes
3396
295
[ACX 2026] Will the United States experience negative GDP growth during Q1, Q2, or Q3 2026?
Jan 6, 11:15 PMSep 30, 11:59 PM
24.33%chance
162366
OptionVotes
6197
4686
Will AMD have a higher market share of CPUs (all CPUs) than Intel in Q1 2030?
Feb 3, 1:24 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM
69.1%chance
171823
OptionVotes
1634
367
Will US real GDP in Q1 2030 be at least 50% greater than in Q1 2025?
Feb 6, 10:34 PMFeb 14, 4:59 AM
44.51%chance
101740
OptionVotes
1116
896
Pythom Space achieves successful launch by end of Q1 2026?
Sep 23, 10:56 PMMar 30, 10:55 PM
1%chance
91506
OptionVotes
995
10
OptionVotes
692
145
Scott Alexander's "In 2028, AI movie" market will be resolved in Q1 2028
Sep 23, 3:41 PMApr 2, 9:59 PM
81.12%chance
15477
OptionVotes
1214
928
Which prongs of the "3-3-3" economic plan will the Trump administration achieve by the end of Q1, 2028?
Dec 16, 7:20 PMJul 1, 3:59 AM
17386
OptionProbability
39
12
12
Will any UK cabinet ministers resign in Q1, Q2, Q3, or Q4 of 2026?
Dec 21, 10:28 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
7303
OptionProbability
89
67
58
58
47
Will any AI Agent vendor announce >1M deployed enterprise AI agents by the end of Q1, 2026?
Dec 8, 5:51 AMMar 31, 11:59 PM
2100
OptionProbability
34
34
34
34
24
24
24