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Top stories

Indian Stocks Rally on GST Reform Hopes; Blue Star, Maruti Suzuki, Hyundai, Jupiter Wagons Gain Amid Cotton Duty Removal and Defence Stock Declines

Authors

3

4 months ago

Prediction markets for Q1

Bachelor Season 30 on ABC by Q1 2026?

May 24, 8:04 PMMar 31, 11:59 PM

22.54%chance

57755

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1854

539

Pierre Poilievre wins Q1 2026 leadership review?

Jul 28, 6:03 PMJan 30, 12:59 AM

63.73%chance

165069

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1325

754

UK gov accepts all 47 Fingleton nuclear review recommendations by Q1 2026?

Nov 29, 7:47 PMMar 31, 11:59 PM

39.36%chance

73739

OptionVotes

NO

YES

7965

7875

Will Congress pass a bill by the end of Q1 2025 that mandates customer service operations to be located inside the USA?

Nov 23, 3:14 PMMar 31, 11:59 PM

19.93%chance

102912

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2004

499

Will AMD have a higher market share of CPUs (all CPUs) than Intel in Q1 2030?

Feb 3, 1:24 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

69.1%chance

171823

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1634

367

Will US real GDP in Q1 2030 be at least 50% greater than in Q1 2025?

Feb 6, 10:34 PMFeb 14, 4:59 AM

44.51%chance

101740

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1116

896

Scott Alexander's "In 2028, AI movie" market will be resolved in Q1 2028

Sep 23, 3:41 PMApr 2, 9:59 PM

79.9%chance

15407

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1144

945

Which prongs of the "3-3-3" economic plan will the Trump administration achieve by the end of Q1, 2028?

Dec 16, 7:20 PMJul 1, 3:59 AM

17386

OptionProbability

Increase domestic energy production by 3 million barrel of oil equivalents per day

Reduce budget deficit to 3% of GDP

Real GDP growth of 3% per annum

39

12

12

Huawei gpus will exceed nvidia gpus in at least 3 benchmark tests by Q1 2026

Jul 29, 6:50 PMJan 2, 12:59 AM

10.31%chance

5195

OptionVotes

YES

NO

295

34

Pythom Space achieves successful launch by end of Q1 2026?

Sep 23, 10:56 PMMar 30, 10:55 PM

19.22%chance

4105

OptionVotes

YES

NO

205

49

Will Union Square in San Francisco have a retail direct vacancy rate lower than 13% in Q1 2026?

Feb 13, 6:49 PMMay 1, 6:59 AM

30.77%chance

270

OptionVotes

YES

NO

150

67

Will San Francisco have a retail vacancy rate lower than 4.5% in Q1 2026?

Feb 13, 6:38 PMMay 1, 6:59 AM

29.39%chance

355

OptionVotes

YES

NO

155

65

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