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Prediction markets for Q3

Binding agreement of acquisition or merger between Apple and AI company before Q3 2026

Aug 2, 4:38 AMJul 1, 11:59 PM

3728507

OptionProbability

Perplexity

Mistral

Cohere

Hugging Face

Thinking Machines Lab

Anthropic

31

19

17

13

8

7

United States Recession by End of Q3?

Jan 21, 11:57 PMDec 19, 10:59 AM

5.03%chance

246587

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4345

230

Conditional on there being a US recession in 2024, will Q3 2024 have negative gdp growth?

Mar 1, 4:42 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

15.02%chance

91270

OptionVotes

YES

NO

285

47

The Volkswagen ID. Buzz will surpass 5,000 US sales in Q3 of 2025

May 14, 12:52 AMJan 1, 12:59 AM

14.98%chance

11324

OptionVotes

YES

NO

238

42

Will the median home value in san francisco county be more than 2,000,000 USD in Q3 2029?

Jun 8, 5:53 PMDec 31, 5:59 AM

53.77%chance

3180

OptionVotes

YES

NO

721

359

Will the Bank of Canada raise interest rates in Q3 2025?

Jul 2, 4:49 PMSep 30, 11:59 PM

14.84%chance

6168

OptionVotes

YES

NO

240

42

US Q3 GDP positive?

Jun 14, 8:37 PMDec 1, 7:59 AM

70.76%chance

6159

OptionVotes

NO

YES

156

64

Ubisoft will be either acquired or taken private by END of Q3 2025

Jan 30, 2:22 AMOct 2, 6:59 AM

18.76%chance

5153

OptionVotes

YES

NO

208

48

Will the median home value in san francisco county be more than 1,500,000 USD in Q3 2029?

Jun 8, 5:53 PMDec 31, 5:59 AM

67.37%chance

485

OptionVotes

NO

YES

104

77

Total Walt Disney World theme park attendance in Q3 2025 higher than Q3 2024

Feb 23, 2:01 PMSep 30, 12:00 AM

54.2%chance

555

OptionVotes

NO

YES

109

92

Will the median home value in travis county be more than 750,000 USD in Q3 2029?

Jun 8, 5:57 PMDec 31, 5:59 AM

40.98%chance

110

OptionVotes

YES

NO

80

62

Will the median home value in travis county be more than 350,000 USD in Q3 2029?

Jun 8, 5:57 PMDec 31, 5:59 AM

59.02%chance

110

OptionVotes

NO

YES

80

62

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