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Prediction markets for QIA

Li Qiang stock (permanent)

Mar 27, 6:25 PMAug 11, 9:43 PM

171728

OptionProbability

YES

NO

475

197

Will Qiaochu Yuan and AellaGirl make love?

Jan 7, 9:11 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

10.23%chance

15627

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1174

942

Are Qiaochu Yuan and Alexey Guzey the SAME PERSON? #OpenIndividualism

Sep 18, 2:48 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

23.76%chance

380

OptionVotes

YES

NO

179

56

Will Rochelle Shen and Qiaochu yuan end up in a relationship

Aug 13, 5:07 AMAug 14, 6:59 AM

27.11%chance

565

OptionVotes

YES

NO

164

61

Will qiaochu yuan become a comedian

Jul 19, 11:05 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

28.23%chance

361

OptionVotes

YES

NO

159

63

Will Qiaochu Yuan get a job for a period of time lasting more than 4 months by 2030?

Apr 29, 2:16 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

65.75%chance

340

OptionVotes

NO

YES

130

96

Will Qiaochu Yuan attend Vibecamp 2026?

Jul 5, 10:47 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50.76%chance

339

OptionVotes

NO

YES

102

98

Will any of {Joscha Bach, Qiaochu Yuan, Alexey Guzey, Jose Luis Ricon} come to accept the divinity of Jesus Christ?

Jul 24, 2:20 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

62.5%chance

130

OptionVotes

NO

YES

129

77

Will Jose Luis Ricon and Qiaochu Yuan both successfully finish the Oregon Trail together before they die?

Aug 11, 5:25 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

35.7%chance

220

OptionVotes

YES

NO

90

55

Will Qiaochu Yuan stay NEET through EOY 2026?

Dec 23, 7:40 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

40.98%chance

110

OptionVotes

YES

NO

80

62

Does Qiaochu Yuan believe the world wants him to be happy?

Nov 10, 8:52 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50.99%chance

11

OptionVotes

NO

YES

71

69

Fanfic of dante Divine comedy featuring aellagirl, Alex Zhu, repligate, qiaochu yuan, yacine, and basedbeffjezos by 2028

Jun 11, 5:41 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

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