OptionProbability
2030+ or never
2027-2028
2025-2026
2028-2029
2023-2024
44
22
20
10
4
OptionVotes
NO
YES
1292
916
155
64
1034
996
Born 2000 or later
First Asteroids/Meteroids Miner
Had been U.S. President before becoming a quadrillionaire
Wealth primarily from ownership of AI company
Born before 2000
Dies within a month of becoming a quadrillionaire
Has a Manifold Account
66
41
36
33
14
101
100
