Qualified Digital News

Full digitization (not necessarily emulation) of a human brain by 2035

Feb 14, 11:27 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

39.12%chance

8211323

OptionVotes

YES

1433

1170

Will Gavin Newsom be strongly anti-AI before March 2, 2028?

Dec 29, 9:03 PMMar 1, 11:59 PM

44.1%chance

133409

OptionVotes

YES

1126

888

Will there be a child polymath of unprecedented talent before 2045?

Aug 5, 8:33 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

28.39%chance

133336

OptionVotes

YES

1588

630

The first human to be declared “immortal” will be from which generation?

Dec 10, 9:08 PMJan 1, 6:59 AM

372082

OptionProbability

Other

Zoomer

Alpha

Millennial

Gamma

Beta

Will a data centre hosting AI be physically attacked before December 31, 2029?

Sep 29, 7:48 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

52.24%chance

251469

OptionVotes

YES

1334

367

Will the Brazilian judiciary introduce some kind of AI jurisdiction before 2030?

Dec 26, 3:45 AMJan 1, 2:59 AM

48.51%chance

18772

OptionVotes

YES

340

Will a film containing AI-generated video win an Oscar at the 2027 Academy Awards?

Aug 8, 7:46 AMMar 14, 2:00 AM

21%chance

14247

OptionVotes

YES

194

By when will any of the the UK/EU/US enact content regulation on short form videos (TikTok, Instagram Reels, etc)

Feb 22, 6:11 AMJan 1, 9:59 PM

2165

OptionProbability

2045

2040

2035

Later/never

2030

Will the UK require biometric ID (e.g. facial recognition or digital fingerprinting) for NHS access by 2030?

Jul 21, 10:41 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

23.72%chance

5164

OptionVotes

YES

179

Will SNCF operates 15+ night train line before 2027?

Sep 11, 10:56 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

37%chance

9163

OptionVotes

YES

Will a country do a bombing live stream by EOY 2030?

Jun 19, 3:00 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

46.15%chance

8112

OptionVotes

YES

108

How hard will it be to import my prereqs into the California Community Colleges system given my graduate degree?

Jul 26, 5:10 PMSep 25, 5:08 PM

497

OptionProbability

Convincing the system about pre-reqs will be left up to the instructor.

The system will automatically import all my stuff.

I will have to find my old class records and course codes and feed them into the system.

I will have to request an official transcript from college and possibly pay money for it.

The system will let me eyeball what classes I've taken without forcing me to dig up my old records.

I will have to talk to a human on the phone.

Qualified Digital News

Prediction markets for Qualified Digital

Prediction markets for Qualified Digital

Prediction markets for Qualified Digital

Full digitization (not necessarily emulation) of a human brain by 2035

Will Gavin Newsom be strongly anti-AI before March 2, 2028?

Will there be a child polymath of unprecedented talent before 2045?

The first human to be declared “immortal” will be from which generation?

Will a data centre hosting AI be physically attacked before December 31, 2029?

Will the Brazilian judiciary introduce some kind of AI jurisdiction before 2030?

Will a film containing AI-generated video win an Oscar at the 2027 Academy Awards?

By when will any of the the UK/EU/US enact content regulation on short form videos (TikTok, Instagram Reels, etc)

Will the UK require biometric ID (e.g. facial recognition or digital fingerprinting) for NHS access by 2030?

Will SNCF operates 15+ night train line before 2027?

Will a country do a bombing live stream by EOY 2030?

How hard will it be to import my prereqs into the California Community Colleges system given my graduate degree?

Latest stories