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Which interpretation of Quantum Mechanics is closest to the truth?

Jul 26, 3:41 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

9134144

OptionProbability

wikipedia will not be clarified by market close

Many Worlds

Orchestrated Objective Reduction

Other

Copenhagen

Indivisible stochastic processes

Spacetime foam

Something derived from Bohmian Mechanics

Local hidden variables + Superdeterminism

"Shut up and calculate"

Superdeterminism

Something else

57

26

5

5

4

2

1

0

0

0

0

0

Will quantum computing be commonly used in commercial applications by 2030?

Jan 17, 6:27 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

38.74%chance

5813755

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1084

653

When will Quantum computing become viable?

Dec 4, 6:14 AMJan 2, 5:59 AM

30.94%chance

8413130

OptionProbability

YES

NO

1986

1128

Will we have useful fault-tolerant Quantum Computers within the next decade

Sep 11, 2:06 PMSep 12, 3:59 AM

65.84%chance

418549

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1388

720

Will I get a job as a quant trader within 3 years after completing Manifest Trading Bootcamp?

Jun 7, 4:48 PMJun 15, 6:59 AM

9.32%chance

235372

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3119

321

In what year will a quantum computer factor the RSA-2048 challenge number?

Mar 23, 2:56 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

223198

OptionProbability

2025-2034

2035-2039

2055-2100

2040-2044

2045-2049

2050-2054

30

26

13

12

10

8

Will I be offered a quant role before 2030? [read desc]

Apr 17, 10:49 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

87.73%chance

132056

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2674

374

In what year will quantum advantage be demonstrated for practical quantum chemistry problems? (before 2030)

Jul 28, 1:21 PMJan 1, 2:08 PM

75.9%chance

14875

OptionProbability

NO

YES

1795

801

Will I think by 2030 that substantial quantities of TSMC chip fabs were destroyed due to China invading Taiwan

Dec 15, 6:47 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

32%chance

24591

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1065

819

What will be my primary field in 5 years?

Nov 18, 3:34 AMNov 25, 4:59 AM

475

OptionProbability

AI

Quantitative psychology

Software engineering

Other

Statistics (other than quant psych)

57

15

12

10

6

Quanto tempo dura o namora da Thati Azevedo

Jan 27, 7:33 PMDec 31, 7:33 PM

00

OptionProbability

1º trimestre 2026

2º trimestre 2026

3º trimestre 2026

4º trimestre 2026

25

25

25

25

What is the domain of validity of local quantum field theory?

Dec 31, 3:15 PMJan 1, 3:15 PM

00

OptionProbability

All relevant scales (energy, length, time)

Some restricted domain.

50

50

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