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Prediction markets for Quant

Which interpretation of Quantum Mechanics is closest to the truth?

Jul 26, 3:41 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

9131676

OptionProbability

wikipedia will not be clarified by market close

Many Worlds

Copenhagen

Orchestrated Objective Reduction

Other

Indivisible stochastic processes

Superdeterminism

Spacetime foam

Something derived from Bohmian Mechanics

Local hidden variables + Superdeterminism

"Shut up and calculate"

Something else

55

25

6

5

5

2

1

1

0

0

0

0

Will quantum computing be commonly used in commercial applications by 2030?

Jan 17, 6:27 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

50%chance

5513139

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1228

468

When will Quantum computing become viable?

Dec 4, 6:14 AMJan 2, 5:59 AM

25.59%chance

8312789

OptionProbability

YES

NO

2283

995

Will we have useful fault-tolerant Quantum Computers within the next decade

Sep 11, 2:06 PMSep 12, 3:59 AM

71.72%chance

418457

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1592

628

Will a quantum computer perform a calculation by 2026 that is impossible for any classical supercomputer?

Jan 21, 12:56 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

9.31%chance

565620

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3083

400

In what year will a quantum computer factor the RSA-2048 challenge number?

Mar 23, 2:56 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

223062

OptionProbability

2025-2034

2035-2039

2040-2044

2055-2100

2045-2049

2050-2054

32

26

12

12

10

8

Will I get a job as a quant trader within 3 years after completing Manifest Trading Bootcamp?

Jun 7, 4:48 PMJun 15, 6:59 AM

18%chance

212777

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2134

469

In what year will quantum advantage be demonstrated for practical quantum chemistry problems? (before 2030)

Jul 28, 1:21 PMJan 1, 2:08 PM

75.9%chance

14875

OptionProbability

NO

YES

1795

801

Will I think by 2030 that substantial quantities of TSMC chip fabs were destroyed due to China invading Taiwan

Dec 15, 6:47 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

33.12%chance

21376

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1080

789

Will Quant Coin outperform Ethereum by 2026??

May 31, 4:04 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

10.31%chance

5290

OptionVotes

YES

NO

295

34

What will be my primary field in 5 years?

Nov 18, 3:34 AMNov 25, 4:59 AM

373

OptionProbability

AI

Quantitative psychology

Software engineering

Other

Statistics (other than quant psych)

56

16

12

11

6

Will Arjun challa of Urbana high school become quant at Jane street or citadel

Jun 16, 8:39 PMMay 16, 8:48 PM

70

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