OptionProbability
YES
NO
1986
1128
Classical Computer
Other
Quantum Computer
AI Superintelligence is very unlikely to be built, or is impossible.
70
15
13
1
Geopolitics
Technology
Economy
Medical/Healthcare
Fundamental research
Environment and sustainability
Society
Space Exploration
Art and culture
Human Rights
Disaster Relief / Humanitarian Aid
76
75
74
50
34
