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Prediction markets for Quarter

In what quarter of a year will the criminal trial in Georgia against Trump have opening statements

Oct 20, 5:04 AMAug 14, 4:00 PM

914733

OptionProbability

None of the above

Q1 2024

Q2 2024

Q3 2024

Q4 2024

Q1 2025

Q2 2025

Q3 2025

Q4 2025

Q1 2026

Q2 2026

Q3 2026

Q4 2026

99

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

A publicly-traded Google competitor's search-derived revenue exceeds Google's search-derived revenue for four consecutive quarters before 2028.

Oct 1, 2:25 AMDec 31, 4:01 PM

18.94%chance

505679

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1425

852

Will the S&P 500 decrease by over 10% in any quarter of 2026?

Jan 1, 3:57 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

18.94%chance

93151

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2069

483

Will an Asian country make it to the 2026 FIFA World Cup quarter-finals?

Aug 9, 1:18 PMJul 20, 3:59 AM

9.58%chance

182978

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2633

156

Will Eliezer's AI doom market have a higher P(doom) in the third quarter of 2026 than today's (2023-09-27) 21%?

Sep 27, 11:50 AMJun 30, 9:59 PM

8.32%chance

242889

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3216

477

2026 Fifa World Cup Quarter-finalists (top 8)

Mar 18, 3:59 PMJul 4, 11:59 PM

122226

OptionProbability

Argentina

France

Spain

England

Netherlands

Portugal

Brazil

Germany

Norway

Morocco

Japan

69

65

62

58

52

49

48

38

32

27

17

Will the S&P 500 increase in at least 3 of the 4 quarters of 2026?

Jan 1, 8:53 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

42.71%chance

111519

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1160

865

In twenty years, will the best evidence show very substantial (>one quarter) declines in fertility rate (relative to couples trying equally hard to conceive in the past) due to decreasing sperm count, in at least one country?

Feb 17, 4:38 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

15%chance

421203

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1266

930

Any other soccer league/tournament implements 4 quarters (2 hydration breaks) in the next year?

Jun 16, 1:34 AMJun 16, 1:33 AM

44%chance

7730

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1128

886

Will Ben Simmons ever attempt a (non quarter ending) 3 pointer again in the NBA?

Jan 27, 11:16 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

44.49%chance

13370

OptionVotes

YES

NO

140

44

Will NCAA Basketball switch to using Quarters like the NBA does by the end of 2029?

Apr 7, 4:20 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

32.91%chance

10199

OptionVotes

YES

NO

317

188

Will there be a Quarterly Rapport 8 by the end of 2026?

Dec 29, 5:17 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

51.48%chance

13

OptionVotes

NO

YES

103

97

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