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Prediction markets for Queen

Queen Lili Stock

May 17, 7:24 AMMay 17, 6:29 PM

242755

OptionProbability

YES

NO

433

410

Chess with queen odds solved by 2035?

Jan 3, 4:07 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

9.71%chance

222649

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1917

818

Chess with queen odds a win for odds-taker?

Jan 25, 3:02 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

90%chance

192324

OptionVotes

NO

YES

131

103

Will Queen Elizabeth II be the last Queen of the United Kingdom?

May 28, 12:27 PMNov 11, 12:32 PM

56.98%chance

331679

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1066

875

Will the Brooklyn-Queens Expressway collapse before 2030?

Mar 5, 12:39 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

17.19%chance

101359

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2195

456

Chess with queen odds solved by 2040?

Jan 25, 2:59 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

18.21%chance

16634

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1089

923

[Metaculus] Will Belgium, the Netherlands, Norway, Spain and Sweden all have Queens regnant ...sly before the year 2100?

Nov 9, 12:20 AMJan 3, 12:00 AM

43.36%chance

7447

OptionVotes

YES

NO

150

109

Will the keel be laid for a third Royal Navy Queen Elizabeth-class aircraft carrier prior to January 2030?

Apr 1, 11:11 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

20.45%chance

4336

OptionVotes

YES

NO

238

59

Will Kate Middleton become Queen?

Mar 24, 11:11 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

84.12%chance

10305

OptionVotes

NO

YES

493

146

Chess with queen-and-two-rook odds solved by 2035?

Jun 14, 8:57 AMDec 31, 4:59 PM

36.37%chance

7233

OptionVotes

YES

NO

132

76

Will the consort of the next Dutch queen be called King (instead of prince)?

Jun 2, 9:09 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

16.26%chance

7192

OptionVotes

YES

NO

295

97

Size of the smallest number of positions proving a win for black in Queen-odds chess

Feb 3, 7:53 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

2125

OptionProbability

<=10^50

<=10^30

<=10^10

90

66

15

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