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Prediction markets for Radar

Will Lockheed Martin win the US Navy Future X Band Radar competition?

Oct 21, 6:53 PMJan 1, 12:35 AM

7.63%chance

816394

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3480

287

Could I buy a legit 8TB (8To) microSD card on amazon before 2026 ?

Dec 13, 2:01 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

18.52%chance

442303

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1887

609

Will Qatar bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2035?

Jun 10, 12:18 PMDec 31, 3:59 PM

52.77%chance

541909

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1141

1067

Leopold Aschenbrenner makes no public statements of consequence for a 2-year period before 2035

Jun 10, 1:57 PMJan 1, 3:59 PM

39.1%chance

10950

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1248

801

Will Ukraine bring a sixth generation fighter into service by the end of 2035?

Jul 1, 5:10 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

29.43%chance

12429

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1176

910

Will Iran bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2035?

Jun 6, 8:52 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

29.45%chance

7118

OptionVotes

YES

NO

100

78

Will Peru bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2040?

Jul 2, 9:21 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

58.02%chance

565

OptionVotes

NO

YES

232

173

Will the UAE bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2035?

Jun 10, 12:27 PMDec 31, 3:59 PM

76.42%chance

240

OptionVotes

NO

YES

90

28

Will Egypt bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2040?

Jun 7, 7:50 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

56.6%chance

537

OptionVotes

NO

YES

127

95

Will France bring a sixth generation fighter into service by the end of 2035?

Jun 30, 8:40 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

45.25%chance

217

OptionVotes

YES

NO

55

45

Will I have more than 1,000 followers on Twitter/X before 2026 (Option 3: Purchase X Premium+)?

Jul 11, 5:07 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

47.75%chance

114

OptionVotes

NO

YES

300

300

Will Egypt bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2035?

Jun 7, 7:48 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

49.85%chance

310

OptionVotes

NO

YES

51

51

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