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RAG News
Prediction markets for RAG
Prediction markets for RAG
RagePope Stock (Permanent)
Nov 11, 5:36 AM
Aug 11, 9:43 PM
439
144794
Option
Probability
YES
NO
5123
2496
Will a team consisting primarily of ML models complete MIT Mystery Hunt by 2030?
Jan 2, 7:09 AM
Jan 29, 7:59 AM
53.18%
chance
34
22942
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1292
258
Will retrieval-augmented-generation (RAG) still be used in 2026?
Aug 12, 4:11 PM
Dec 13, 4:59 AM
87.43%
chance
24
1992
Option
Votes
NO
YES
2685
386
Attention + Diffusion + Search = AGI?
May 8, 11:00 PM
Mar 5, 10:59 PM
16.84%
chance
10
271
Option
Votes
YES
NO
442
84
Attention + Diffusion + Search + RL = AGI?
May 9, 1:16 PM
Mar 5, 10:59 PM
26.63%
chance
6
240
Option
Votes
YES
NO
276
154
Will at least one major LLM publicly document graph-based RAG as a core part of its production architecture in 2026?
Jan 20, 10:15 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
22.79%
chance
5
117
Option
Votes
YES
NO
184
54
Attention + Search + RL = AGI?
Dec 30, 2:13 PM
Jan 1, 10:59 PM
64.65%
chance
3
45
Option
Votes
NO
YES
135
74
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