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Prediction markets for Rails

Will Portland MAX light rail extend to Vancouver WA before end of 2030

Sep 26, 10:25 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

4.57%chance

1283017

OptionVotes

YES

NO

46054

2277

Will the UK HS2 rail line between London and Birmingham be operational before 2031?

Feb 16, 9:15 AMJan 1, 12:00 AM

5.26%chance

2411233

OptionVotes

YES

NO

11928

1118

Will Portland MAX light rail extend to Vancouver WA before end of 2028

Sep 26, 10:24 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

3.33%chance

57736

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5390

186

Will Brightline West begin service of a high-speed rail route between Los Angeles and Las Vegas by 2028?

Jul 3, 2:17 PMDec 31, 2:59 PM

1.94%chance

66934

OptionVotes

YES

NO

7101

141

Will there be a high-speed rail between LA and SF by the end of 2040?

Dec 31, 6:17 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

12.66%chance

556402

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2481

493

Will "Rail Baltica" be operational by mid-2030?

May 21, 10:38 AMJul 1, 8:59 PM

11.78%chance

235162

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2044

748

Will there be a high-speed rail line in Texas before 2030?

Jul 8, 8:33 PMDec 31, 5:59 AM

4.48%chance

174415

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4681

507

Dyson Swarm reaches Earth's current energy generation level before CA High-Speed Rail is complete?

Sep 2, 5:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

19.46%chance

71183

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1644

100

Will more people travel between cities by self driving car than by inter city rail before 2037

Apr 17, 1:29 PMJan 1, 1:29 PM

50%chance

12559

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1149

814

Will China close any high-speed rail line before 2030?

Sep 26, 1:46 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

48.32%chance

11499

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1002

992

Will California high-speed rail use Siemens trains?

Apr 30, 9:48 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

60.05%chance

3107

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1032

975

How will SANDAG prevent the LA/SD rail line from falling into the Pacific?

Jul 24, 12:13 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

00

OptionProbability

San Dieguito Bridge to I-5 (tunnel)

under Crest Canyon (tunnel)

under Camino Del Mar (tunnel)

double-track & reinforce existing route on Del Mar Bluffs (no tunnel)

don't do anything ("no build")

20

20

20

20

20

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