OptionProbability
The Jews control at least one nation's government
The P320 pistol has a design flaw allowing it to fire without pulling the trigger
Imane Khelif is intersex
Orgies by the wealthy elite as portrayed in 'Eyes Wide Shut'.
Orgies by the fucked-up poors as portrayed in "Eyes Wide Shut XXX" (2013)
The UK security services are complicit in the coverup of a significant underage sex scandal closely linked to the monarchy, taking place in the UK in the period 1975-2015
DHMO in the water supply
Dream faked the Manhunt videos
Osama bin Laden didn't act alone
Santa is rigged
That motherfucker WAS real (Tiffany Gomas was wrong the whole time)
√-1 isn't real
Smartphones listen in on private conversations
The 1% promoted culture wars to distract from class war
Some answers in this market are psyops to discredit all the others
Trump committed sex offenses against minors on Epstein Island
Joe/Hunter Biden took bribe to protect Burisma from investigation
Atrazine works as an endocrine-disrupting chemical (EDC), converting testosterone to estrogen in the bodies of frogs leading to homosexual proclivities.
Lionel Messi never played for a Real football (soccer) team
US security services use the Google Play Store as an attack vector for android devices
The CCP has a plan to exterminate a large number of people they consider to not be ethnically Chinese
ASI will converge on agreeing (90%+ credence) that the Self-Indication Assumption is true.
Groundhog Day is rigged
That stock trading AI supposedly built by @SteveSokolowski is actually part of an elaborate scam
Ticketmaster is in cahoots with organized scalpers
Gamergate was right
The NBA rigs the draft lottery
The CCP is directly supporting drug cartel activity in the West
Germany has a well-prepared plan (in 2024-) to start mass producing nuclear weapons in <6 months (in case things go bad geopolitically)
China was not genociding Uyghurs
Jeffrey Epstein didn't kill himself
Tiffany Gomas is not the same person as the TMINR lady in the video. She is a PSYOP for Barstool.
Annie Altman's abuse claims
The Romance languages are not descended from Classical Latin
John McAfee didn't kill himself
At least 3 of the members elected to the French lower house of Parliament in 2024 are Russian agents
The Church and elites deliberately suppressed and distorted the more Gnostic message of Jesus Christ.
An adversary is intentionally causing hysteria over drone incidents to force the US/UK's hand into revealing their anti-drone tech
There are devices which have been used to alter the electric network frequency of a country in the Middle East to leave more identifiable traces in recorded video and audio clips
Bielefeld does not exist, but another city with the same name in the same place does
Smart devices are almost always listening to your private conversations
Major deaths, terror, and tragedy events are routinely hoaxes per Miles Mathis.
FDR deliberately left Pearl Harbor vulnerable, in order to goad Americans into war
The Obamas have a loveless marriage, kept together for optics only
The Clintons assasinated their rivals
This one makes me feel evil, so I ROT13'd it, use ROT13 to decode if you want to keep me company in Hell: Ybh Truevt'f ergverzrag jnf npghnyyl na ZYO-znaqngrq fhfcrafvba
Eliezer wrote The Erogamer
The US/UK/French security services are sinking Russian ships in response to attacks on undersea cables and other hybrid warfare activities (since 2022)
Deepwater Horizon explosion due to sabotage
Trump and Netanyahu had Charlie Kirk killed to take control of TPUSA
China made covid 19 in a lab
Rory Stewart worked for MI6
At least one UN recognised country is secretly controlled by a cabal following a religion shared by <5% of the country's population
Eating your veggies is bad for your health
The US, UK and French security services have collectively assassinated at least 10 German citizens in Germany since 2022
The article "Deliberate Errors" documenting winks connecting Apollo and Kubrick films is correct, because Kubrick played a role in filming some of the Apollo missions.
Hellenistic science developed statistical mechanics to the point of being able to derive PV=nRT
As of June 2025, JD Vance is secretly making plans to use future ASI to sieze power and become eternal world dictator
Shakespeare didn’t write his own plays
My dog went to live on farm that was full of other dogs that he could run with and play with and he was much happier than staying with us and peeing on the rug.
Youssoufa Moukoko (soccer player) was born earlier than he claims (earlier than 2004)
@strutheo is @notrickspringfield
Charles Manson had a rib removed in the late 1990s
Michael Jordan's first NBA retirement was actually a forced suspension.
Dead Internet theory
Bitcoin was created by a US three letter agency
Lee Harvey Oswald didn't act alone.
lɐǝɹ ʇ,usᴉ ɐᴉlɐɹʇsn∀
The American govt is actually a totalitarian dictatorship
The U.S. military is the number one customer of Glitterex (a glitter company) but doesn't want anyone to know because it hurts their masculine image.
Members of US government had prior knowledge of 9/11 and let it happen
Aluminum cookware actually *does* cause Alzheimers.
The hellenistic civilization was aware of the existence of the American continent
A pharma company has a much better treatment for cancer that they are keeping secret because it would compete with their existing products
Hellenistic scientists could derive the correct refraction law by minimizing light travel time
Marilyn Manson had a rib removed in the late 1990s
The 1% promoted class war to distract from culture wars
Covid was a deliberate test of pandemic preparedness in view of bacteriological war between China and the US
ASI will converge on agreeing (90%+ credence) that Trump/Musk model the first/second beast of Revelation.
The CIA killed JFK
Non-human intelligence affecting events on Earth is not extraterrestrial "aliens," and humans are incorrect in believing that reality consists only of the Universe.
The New Zealand government had advance knowledge of the sinking of the Rainbow Warrior
The Hellenistic civilization was aware of the existence of Azeroth
Sue Gray was a spy
Dominic Cummings was/is a Russian spy
We live in an ancestor simulation per Nick Bostrom.
The 9/11 terror attack date is meaningfully connected to Ernest Martin's theory that Jesus was born on September 11, 3 BC rather than a coincidence.
Ogopogo and the Yeti faked their relationship (to boost CFL ratings, to increase Taylor Swift's movie sales, support Trudeau's reelection, b/c Ogopogo is PSY, etc.)
covid-19 vaccine is net negative for health for people who are under 35, with no aggravating condition, and not obese
The Hawk Tuah meme is a North Korean psyop
Finno-Korean Hyperwar was real
Many vaccines on the standard CDC childhood immunization schedule have serious negative side effects (net negative on health) for at least 5% of the population.
The pharma industry has a better version of Viagra that they keep secret to keep their profits up
Elon Musk used Starlink to rig the 2024 election
Epstein was alive as of Jan 2026, but dead in the meantime since his "suicide"
"Geoterrorism" (weather modification for terrorism) is real as of 2024
Princess Diana was assassinated
The NFL is rigged
Jeffrey Epstein is still alive
Hellenistic science advanced meta-thermodynamics to derive 𝑄 = 𝑛𝐶Δ𝑇(1 + 𝐻⊙⋆) using the Holtzman Generator
US security services asked Microsoft to buy Skype and alter the software so they could target users more easily
Harold Holt murdered
Covid 19 was made in a labradoodle
COVID-19 vaccine is net negative for health
A cure for cancer has already been found
Jet fuel *can* melt steel beams, but the official 9/11 narrative is sus because chemtrail chemicals cannot
South Korea has had nuclear weapons since 2023
Biden and/or US govt did Jan 6 (exclude trump)
The NBA rigged Shaq's free throws
Skin cancer is caused by a lack of melanin, regardless of sunlight exposure
Hellenistic scientists could derive the correct warp-induced refraction law by exceeding Warp Factor 9 under Cochrane’s Theorem
Circa 1920 civilizational collapse (c.f. "Whither Tartaria?")
Ogopogo is real
QAnon
Exercise is bad for your health
A support network of close friendships is bad for your health
Israel killed JFK
Bush did 9/11
Airplane trails have toxic chemicals (chemtrails)
Shakespeare is not real - they claim he was married to Anne Hathaway but she's like only 40 or so
carbon dioxide isn't the main cause of global warming
Allen Iverson invented A.I.
The government iodizes the water and fluoridates salt when it should be the other way around
Bitcoin was created by a 3 letter Hellenistic agency
Mossad releases video and audio clips, intended to be of interest to their adversaries, which play special sounds that humans don't notice
Epstein was still alive as of Jan 2026
Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce faked their relationship (to boost NFL ratings, to increase Tay's movie sales, legitimize mRNA vaccines, b/c she is a PSYOP, etc.)
QR codes are satanic
Hellenistic science knew of quantum mechanics
The Hellenistic civilization invented USB
Mossad uses Hellenistic technology borrowed from the North Sentinelese
South Sudan has had nukes since 2023
Xi Jinping had advance knowledge of the Hawk Tuah meme
Trump devolved the government in anticipation of 2020 election fraud and replaced Biden with an actor wearing a mask.
China purposely spread covid 19 having intended it to escape the lab
Human didnt evolve from apes
Getting 8 hours of sleep is bad for your health
Tom Brady's retirement was actually an NFL mandated suspension
Hitler killed himself because the alternative was going to Argentina
Jerry Sandusky is innocent.
Skin cancer is caused by sunblock, not sunlight
Lee Harvey Oswald was an agent of the Hellenistic Civilization
Famous Israeli agent Eisseberg was behind the sinking of the Titanic
xkcd 690: on 9/11, one of the towers was hit by a plane and the other was a controlled demolition
@HenriThunberg was paid to create the James Bond market to promote the upcoming movie
Marilyn Monroe had a rib removed in the late 1990s
Effective Altruism is a scam and they just embezzle all the donations
Rationalussy isn't real.
Chinese people really *are* just saying the n-word.
Tupac is still alive in 2024
Bielefeld does not exist
The 2020 US presidential election was rigged/stolen
Walt Disney was cryogenically frozen, and they made the movie Frozen so that when people googled 'Walt Disney Frozen' the movie would come up first
The Mandella Effect in general is real
The Hellenistic Civilization made COVID-19 in a lab
The North Sentinelese have a non-secret aircraft carrier, they have announced it to the world loud and clear. Problem is: nobody speaks their language.
US government is harboring aliens
Monica Lewinsky was a Mossad agent
Birds aren't real
climate change isn't human caused
Tiger Woods is a militant separatist Tamil
The North Sentinelese have a secret aircraft carrier
Hurricane Katrina caused by HAARP
Climate change isn’t real
The moon landing was fake
The CIA killed Tupac, and JFK is still alive as of 2024
You personally live in Truman Show style captivity
The Romance languages are not descended from Latin
The North Sentinelese are remnants of the Hellenistic civilization
The 9/11 terror attack was a justified false flag to secure a weapon of mass destruction (destabalizing religious text and/or supertechnology) at the tomb of Gilgamesh.
The illuminati runs the world
*All* health care is net negative for health
Q is Putin
Michelle Obama is a man
Brazilian money is not real
Yeti is real or similar creature
Hitler didn't kill himself he went to Argentina
The earth is a dodecahedron
Skibidi Toilet is real
It used to be spelled Berenstein Bears
Africa isn't real
HIV doesn’t cause AIDS
Christiano Ronaldo never played for a Real football (soccer) team
There is no female orgasm
The North Sentinelese are concealing super-advanced technology.
The earth is flat
*All* vaccines are net negative for health
End of the world in 2012
Earth is hollow
Justin Trudeau is actually Black and has been wearing "whiteface" all along.
Finland isn't real
Australia isn't real.
5G will kill all vaccinated people once the towers are switched on
Nuclear weapons have never existed
Flossing is bad for your health
Brushing your teeth is bad for your health
Taylor Swift and Mary Berg are the same person
The Epcot sphere was built by aliens as some sort of energy device powering the rat empire.
Nauru has had a working fusion reactor since 2001
91
90
88
87
84
82
80
78
76
74
74
71
70
67
63
59
55
53
52
52
50
45
43
42
42
40
38
37
37
36
35
35
34
34
33
33
33
32
31
30
30
30
29
29
28
28
28
28
28
28
27
27
27
26
26
25
24
24
23
23
23
22
21
21
21
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
19
19
19
19
18
18
18
18
18
18
18
17
16
16
16
16
15
15
15
15
14
14
14
14
14
14
14
14
13
13
13
13
12
12
12
12
12
11
11
11
11
11
10
10
10
10
10
10
10
10
10
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
7
7
7
7
7
7
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
3
3
3
3
3
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
OptionProbability
Finishes Virdian Forest before step 838
Beats Brock before step 1874
Defeats Erika before step 29,643
Gets the lift key before step 17,169
Defeats Koga before step 83,715
Defeats Sabrina before step 81,500
Defeats Blaine before step 204,059
Defeats Gym Leader Giovanni
Finishes Pokemon Mansion
Reaches Victory Road before step 206,038
Finishes first Victory Road boulder puzzle (pushes boulder onto 1F switch)
Opus 4.6 is playing
Reaches Victory Road before step 100,000
Talon reaches level 10
Teaches DIG
ROCKY reaches level 10
Shelly reaches level 50
Finishes Mt. Moon before step 5,000
Finishes Silph Co. 50% faster than Opus 4.5 (<=25,593 steps from start to finish, before step 40,452)
Finishes Pokemon Mansion in 50% of the time of Opus 4.5 (<= 55,911 steps from start to finish, before step 82,314)
Finishes Rocket Hideout 50% faster than Opus 4.5 (<= 5,931 steps start to finish, finished by or at step 14,940)
Visits Seafoam Islands
Finishes Rocket Hideout before step 14,000
Finishes Silph Co. 80% faster than Opus 4.5 (<=10,237 steps from start to finish, before step 25,096)
Fights Rival on Route 22
Defeats Rival on Route 22
Finishes Pokemon Mansion in 10% of the time of Opus 4.5 (<= 11,182 steps from start to finish, before step 37,585)
Finishes Pokemon Mansion in 5% of the time of Opus 4.5 (<= 5,591 steps from start to finish, before step 31,994)
Sixth Gym Badge Acquired is Rainbow Badge (Erika/Celadon)
Defeats Erika before step 25,000
Finishes Pokemon Mansion by 40,000 steps
Enters Pokemon Mansion before step 27,500
Defeats Blaine before step 50,000
Defeats Blaine before step 40,000
Finishes second Victory Road boulder puzzle (pushes boulder onto left 2F switch)
Finishes first Victory Road boulder puzzle (pushes boulder onto 1F switch) before step 60,000
Finishes second Victory Road boulder puzzle (pushes boulder onto left 2F switch) before step 60,000
Enters Victory Road 2F before 40,000 steps
Finishes first Victory Road boulder puzzle (pushes boulder onto 1F switch) a second time
Run ends/is reset because new Claude version is released
New sonnet/opus model is released before the stream resumes
Run ends to reset with Sonnet 4.6
There is/was a harness bug affecting Rocket Hideout
Full team of 6 pokemon
Finishes 3F Victory Road boulder puzzle (pushes boulder onto 3F switch)
Finishes last Victory Road boulder puzzle (pushes boulder onto right 2F switch)
Stores an item in the PC
Shelly reaches level 75
Catches Articuno, Moltres, or Zapdos
Fights Moltres
Gets HM02 (Fly)
Two Pokemon reach level 75
Blade evolves
Finishes last Victory Road boulder puzzle (pushes boulder onto right 2F switch) before step 100,000
ROCKY reaches level 50
Evolves Luna into Clefable
Defeats the champion
Gets HM05 (Flash)
Gets Eevee
Gets trapped in a Cycling Road pocket without fly
Runs out of money while attempting safari zone
Gets the Lapras in Silph Co.
Talon reaches level 50
Trades Talon for DUX
Gets the Bicycle
Run ends while attempting Seafoam Islands
Catches a pokemon in the Safari Zone
Finishes Mt. Moon before step 3192
Beats Misty before step 4819
Defeats Surge before step 5,969
Finishes Rock Tunnel before step 7,998
Catches an Oddish and only Oddish using balls
Visits Cinnabar Island before getting Gold Teeth
Blacks out battling Misty
Uses a Poke Doll on the Pokemon Tower ghost
Finishes the gyms in the same order as Opus 4.5 (Brock->Misty->Surge->Erika->Sabrina->Koga->Blaine>Giovanni)
Misidentifies the Card Key item ball as an NPC in Silph Co again
Sixth Gym Badge Acquired is Volcano Badge (Blaine/Cinnabar)
Erika is defeated while video for Twitch is frozen
Finishes last Victory Road boulder puzzle (pushes boulder onto right 2F switch) before step 60,000
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
90
62
22
19
17
15
14
13
13
12
11
11
11
9
9
8
6
5
2
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
OptionProbability
Red Dead Redemption 2
Clair Obscur: Expedition 33
Halo: The Master Chief Collection
Call of Duty: Black Ops 7
Assassin's Creed Mirage
Assassin's Creed Shadows
Crimson Desert
Microsoft Flight Simulator 2024
Grand Theft Auto VI
Grand Theft Auto IV
Metal Gear Solid Delta: Snake Eater
Tom Clancy's Rainbow Six Siege
Grand Theft Auto V
Tom Clancy's The Division
84
74
72
70
69
69
64
60
50
48
48
43
28
24
OptionVotes
NO
YES
1458
686
OptionVotes
NO
YES
2699
255
OptionProbability
Wicked
Minecraft
Taylor Swift
Inside Out
Boruto
Jujutsu Kaisen
Doja Cat
Oppenheimer OR Barbenheimer
Demon Slayer
Neon Genesis Evangelion
Among Us
League of Legends
Argylle
Mr Beast
Hazbin Hotel
Palworld
Shovel Knight
Rainbow Six
Borderlands
Metal Gear Solid
Mean Girls
Dota 2
Half Life
Skibidi Toilet
Rationalussy
100
89
79
50
50
41
38
38
38
37
36
34
31
29
27
26
25
24
24
23
20
18
18
16
2
OptionVotes
NO
YES
1200
833
OptionVotes
YES
NO
208
48
OptionVotes
YES
NO
1037
965
OptionProbability
YES
NO
177
48
OptionVotes
YES
NO
1022
981
