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Prediction markets for Raise

Will Costcos in US raise the price of their hot dog and soda combo above $1.50 before the end of 2026?

Jan 29, 5:03 PMDec 31, 9:59 PM

2.88%chance

275004

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3427

49

There will be an anti-AI super PAC that raises at least $20 million in 2026

Jan 2, 7:47 AMJan 13, 7:59 AM

37.56%chance

81733

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1289

776

The CCP itself will directly produce and raise children

Aug 20, 8:34 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

23.22%chance

251542

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1326

872

Will Sam Altman successfully raise one trillion dollars by EOY 2034?

Feb 10, 11:42 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

65.92%chance

151354

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1406

150

How Much Funding Will a Single Manifold Question Raise for My Antibiotic Research?💊🦠🚀

Feb 24, 12:05 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

11946

OptionProbability

(0, 200]

None

(200, 600]

(600, 1200]

(1200, 2500]

(2500, 5000]

(5000, 10000]

(10000, 15000]

(15000, 24000]

More than $24,000

34

25

9

6

5

5

5

5

4

4

A startup in a programming language derived from homotopy type theory raises $10M by 2030

May 16, 6:57 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

24.58%chance

17528

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1282

880

Netherlands raises standard naturalization residency requirement to ≥10 years by Dec 31, 2026?

Oct 27, 3:29 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM

56.39%chance

4505

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1137

879

Will Costco raise the price of the hot dog combo before 2040?

Aug 27, 11:21 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

79.68%chance

14500

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1164

939

Will China start a program in which the government somehow breeds humans that are raised by the state before 2050?

Dec 6, 6:23 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

37.54%chance

4290

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1290

775

Will Polish parliament raise the retirement age before 2030?

Jan 27, 12:34 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

73.26%chance

10157

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1008

989

Will Uber raise the default minimum suggested tip?

Mar 13, 10:38 PMSep 2, 6:59 AM

25.96%chance

13145

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1052

972

Will Airbyte ever raise another round of capital?

Jun 14, 3:46 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1000

1000

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