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Prediction markets for Raise

Will Costcos in US raise the price of their hot dog and soda combo above $1.50 before the end of 2026?

Jan 29, 5:03 PMDec 31, 9:59 PM

1.33%chance

276004

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4427

28

Will the UK have a Land Value Tax that raises over £10Bn inflation adjusted by 2030?

Jan 6, 9:24 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

19.42%chance

251936

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1238

914

There will be an anti-AI super PAC that raises at least $20 million in 2026

Jan 2, 7:47 AMJan 13, 7:59 AM

37.56%chance

81733

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1289

776

How Much Funding Will a Single Manifold Question Raise for My Antibiotic Research?💊🦠🚀

Feb 24, 12:05 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

131706

OptionProbability

(0, 200]

None

(200, 600]

(600, 1200]

(1200, 2500]

(2500, 5000]

(5000, 10000]

(10000, 15000]

(15000, 24000]

More than $24,000

34

33

7

5

4

4

4

4

3

3

The CCP itself will directly produce and raise children

Aug 20, 8:34 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

23.22%chance

251542

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1326

872

Will Situational Awareness LP raise fresh capital after its July 2026 unwind?

Jul 30, 3:59 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

84.72%chance

41431

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2354

425

Will Airbyte ever raise another round of capital?

Jun 14, 3:46 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

20%chance

11000

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2000

500

A startup in a programming language derived from homotopy type theory raises $10M by 2030

May 16, 6:57 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

19.29%chance

18828

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1582

796

Will Costco raise the price of the hot dog combo before 2040?

Aug 27, 11:21 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

79.68%chance

14500

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1164

939

Will Canada raise its 2027 international-student arrivals target above 150,000 by December 31, 2026?

Apr 21, 4:29 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM

33.81%chance

2475

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1399

715

Will China start a program in which the government somehow breeds humans that are raised by the state before 2050?

Dec 6, 6:23 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

40.21%chance

5340

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1219

820

Will Polish parliament raise the retirement age before 2030?

Jan 27, 12:34 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

73.26%chance

10157

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1008

989

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