Ramp News

Will a "lifetime smoking ban" become law in the UK before the next General Election after July 2024?

May 31, 1:56 PMMay 7, 10:59 PM

76.1%chance

6613871

OptionVotes

YES

1784

560

IPOs in 2026?

Dec 14, 6:29 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

368291

OptionProbability

Once Upon a Farm

SpaceX

Cerebras

Discord

Databricks

Anthropic

Anduril

Deel

OpenAI

Celonis

Applied Intuition

Vanta

Ramp

Glean

Ripple Labs

Mistral AI

Stripe

Brex

Remote

Fannie Mae

Freddie Mac

xAI

100

Will Zijin produce 2,000+ tonnes of tungsten in FY2029?

Mar 21, 12:10 AMJun 30, 4:00 AM

53.14%chance

53819

OptionVotes

YES

1065

939

Tim Cook out as Apple CEO by March 31?

Jan 8, 10:03 AMMar 30, 11:59 PM

1%chance

243693

OptionVotes

YES

996

2030 – 3. Over one hundred thousand humanoid robots will be deployed in the real world.

Mar 11, 12:08 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

82.06%chance

372697

OptionVotes

YES

1928

630

What is more likely to happen in the russian invasion of Ukraine by 2027

Dec 20, 1:43 AMJan 1, 2:59 AM

18956

OptionProbability

It reaches a stalemate and the south east of Ukraine becomes separate state eventually annexed by russia, Ukraine joins EU and NATO

Ukraine withstands until europe and the US ramp up production and Russia collapses and fragments like the spanish empire before it.

Overall escalation continues in flashpoints around the world, nuclear war renders previous options irrelevant (congratulations if you live in the southern hemisphere, you might live to get an anwser correct!)

The US and europe abandon Ukraine over politics and disagreements, likely NATO and the EU collapse due to folding to military agression

Russia conquers Ukraine and then the rest of europe as they turn around in fear and cowardice, unwilling to fight

Wagerup gallium T12M production exceeds 10 tonnes as of Q2 2027

Jan 12, 5:58 PMJun 30, 11:59 PM

45.11%chance

6569

OptionVotes

YES

1103

907

Alcoa's aluminum segment 2026 production exceeds 2.3 Mt (2,300 kt)

Jan 12, 7:33 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

67.52%chance

10472

OptionVotes

YES

1442

694

Grasberg block cave restarts by mid-2026?

Nov 19, 3:22 PMJul 31, 11:59 PM

58.52%chance

4308

OptionVotes

YES

1188

842

South Africa's vanadium production exceeds 10,000 tonnes in 2027?

Nov 26, 5:41 AMFeb 29, 11:59 PM

55.22%chance

4151

OptionVotes

YES

1110

901

Will Ramp or Brex IPO first? [Kalshi]

Aug 25, 8:59 PMDec 31, 8:48 PM

3147

OptionProbability

Ramp

Brex

Will AIs who aren't trained on or exposed to humans argue about qualia by 2050?

Sep 13, 9:17 PMSep 21, 3:59 AM

30.62%chance

448

OptionVotes

YES

150

Ramp News

Prediction markets for Ramp

Prediction markets for Ramp

Prediction markets for Ramp

Will a "lifetime smoking ban" become law in the UK before the next General Election after July 2024?

IPOs in 2026?

Will Zijin produce 2,000+ tonnes of tungsten in FY2029?

Tim Cook out as Apple CEO by March 31?

2030 – 3. Over one hundred thousand humanoid robots will be deployed in the real world.

What is more likely to happen in the russian invasion of Ukraine by 2027

Wagerup gallium T12M production exceeds 10 tonnes as of Q2 2027

Alcoa's aluminum segment 2026 production exceeds 2.3 Mt (2,300 kt)

Grasberg block cave restarts by mid-2026?

South Africa's vanadium production exceeds 10,000 tonnes in 2027?

Will Ramp or Brex IPO first? [Kalshi]

Will AIs who aren't trained on or exposed to humans argue about qualia by 2050?

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