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Prediction markets for RAYE

Will Ray Kurzweil win his 2029 Turing Test bet with Mitchell Kapor?

Feb 18, 8:14 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

54.54%chance

6311679

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1000

937

Ray Dalio stock

Apr 9, 1:02 PMApr 10, 3:59 AM

185349

OptionProbability

YES

NO

542

160

Will Ray Kurzweil live to see the singularity?

Mar 28, 2:54 AMApr 4, 10:59 AM

16.42%chance

644160

OptionVotes

YES

NO

563

89

Will AI "smart glasses" be a popular AI wearable form factor by 2027? (eg Meta Ray Bans)

Mar 25, 10:24 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

82.44%chance

443737

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2178

414

Will I meet a new lover at Ray Kurzweil's funeral by 2040?

Feb 25, 4:36 AMMar 3, 5:59 AM

13.5%chance

121072

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1154

931

Will Ray Kurzweil live to be a centenarian?

Oct 14, 11:52 PMFeb 13, 4:59 AM

13.37%chance

10937

OptionVotes

YES

NO

242

113

Will Ray Kurzweil die of natural causes?

Jan 19, 4:57 AMJan 1, 6:29 PM

85.46%chance

14470

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1100

958

Will public health consensus regarding diet/health meaningfully shift toward the theories of Ray Peat before 2030?

Nov 15, 7:44 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

33.06%chance

4181

OptionVotes

YES

NO

428

228

Will the Tampa Bay Rays leave St. Petersburg before 2028?

Jul 13, 1:22 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM

54.65%chance

5141

OptionVotes

NO

YES

140

65

Will there be a consensus on the origin of cosmic rays with energies beyond the GZK limit by the end of 2030?

Apr 21, 10:11 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

34.85%chance

457

OptionVotes

YES

NO

235

140

What are cosmic rays with energies over 100 EeV made of?

Jun 6, 10:05 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

110

OptionProbability

Hydrogen

Helium

Lithium to neon

Sodium to argon

Potassium to iron

Cobalt to xenon

Cesium or heavier

14

14

14

14

14

14

14

Will Ray Dalio fund plastics/microplastics removal/reduction by EOY2028?

Sep 21, 5:22 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

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