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Prediction markets for Raytheon Technologies

Who will release the first model to be credibly accused of being responsible for at least 100 deaths?

Sep 30, 4:49 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

292966

OptionProbability

Palantir

Other

OpenAI

Tesla

Lockheed Martin

Boeing

Facebook

Mistral AI

Shield AI

Deepmind

Inflection

Alibaba Group

EluetherAI

Waymo

Raytheon Technologies

Anthropic

Meta

Databricks

42

19

9

8

5

5

2

2

2

1

1

1

1

1

1

0

0

0

Will the US send more patriot air defense systems to Ukraine before September 30, 2025?

Jun 26, 6:03 AMSep 29, 11:59 PM

87%chance

202595

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2587

387

Will NASA award a contract to a new commercial partner to develop a spacesuit by mid 2026?

Jun 25, 9:32 PMJun 1, 1:59 PM

75%chance

41305

OptionVotes

NO

YES

173

58

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