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Prediction markets for RC
Prediction markets for RC
I am an AI safety researcher with a background in machine learning engineering and neuroscience. Will I personally be able to program and train an AGI for less than $10k by 2030?
Dec 21, 8:35 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
20.49%
chance
71
6636
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1742
1335
Will at least three US states use RCV in the 2028 presidential general election?
Jan 21, 1:17 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
67.79%
chance
27
2168
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1495
590
Will an ASO or RCS stage race use timed segments for the mountain classification before the end of the 2025 UCI season?
Jul 19, 10:48 PM
Nov 1, 4:59 AM
10.36%
chance
5
1962
Option
Votes
YES
NO
2701
100
Will Alaska use RCV in the 2028 presidential general election?
Jan 21, 1:29 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
90.03%
chance
14
1399
Option
Votes
NO
YES
567
40
Will a Meld pair make the top 8 of any RC or Pro Tour before 2030?
Jun 24, 10:08 AM
Jan 1, 11:59 PM
13.67%
chance
5
1040
Option
Votes
YES
NO
251
40
Will I participate in another MtG Regional Championship before 2027?
Mar 9, 1:00 AM
Jan 2, 4:59 AM
72.27%
chance
3
815
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1615
619
How many cities will adopt RCV via a ballot measure in 2025?
Apr 19, 2:55 PM
Jul 31, 10:59 PM
2
292
Will Apple release support for editing RCS messages before 2026
Dec 23, 4:13 AM
Dec 31, 12:00 AM
39.83%
chance
3
42
Option
Votes
YES
NO
123
81
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