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Prediction markets for RC
Prediction markets for RC
I am an AI safety researcher with a background in machine learning engineering and neuroscience. Will I personally be able to program and train an AGI for less than $10k by 2030?
Dec 21, 8:35 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
18.76%
chance
76
6811
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1891
1299
Will at least three US states use RCV in the 2028 presidential general election?
Jan 21, 1:17 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
64.46%
chance
28
2218
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1398
640
Will I participate in another MtG Regional Championship before 2027?
Mar 9, 1:00 AM
Jan 2, 4:59 AM
35.26%
chance
3
1775
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1355
738
Before 2027, will a RCT find that AI improves the productivity of experienced open-source developers?
Sep 11, 1:25 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
82.62%
chance
12
1589
Option
Votes
NO
YES
2181
459
Will Alaska use RCV in the 2028 presidential general election?
Jan 21, 1:29 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
86.26%
chance
15
1409
Option
Votes
NO
YES
492
50
Will a Meld pair make the top 8 of any RC or Pro Tour before 2030?
Jun 24, 10:08 AM
Jan 1, 11:59 PM
5.33%
chance
6
1210
Option
Votes
YES
NO
421
24
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