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Prediction markets for REC

Will the U.S. enter a recession in Trump's second term?

Mar 13, 3:40 PMJan 21, 4:59 AM

46%chance

346291594

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5852

4245

If Trump wins, will the US enter a recession [WARNING: as measured by Sahm rule] before 2027?

Mar 11, 11:22 PMFeb 2, 7:59 AM

13.16%chance

218106597

OptionVotes

YES

NO

15171

4760

US recession in 2026?

Sep 3, 1:07 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

11.95%chance

13094962

OptionVotes

YES

NO

27170

3686

CATL receives license renewal for Yichun Lithium mine by end of Feb 2027?

Jun 9, 2:12 PMFeb 28, 11:59 PM

60.65%chance

4765967

OptionVotes

NO

YES

130486

84436

[M5000 subsidy] Will 10,000+ people receive Lantern Bioworks' cavity prevention treatment by 2030?

Jul 20, 8:26 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

67.97%chance

11857524

OptionVotes

NO

YES

9296

3502

By when will most FTX bankruptcy claimants have received their last installment ?

Jan 4, 6:05 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

732223

OptionProbability

Before Jan 2027

Before July 2026

Before Jan 2026

Before July 2025

84

60

15

1

Will GiveWell recommend a grant to support unconditional cash transfers before 2027?

Dec 18, 3:25 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

35.34%chance

3615164

OptionVotes

YES

NO

6437

3109

Will the US experience a recession during 2026?

Mar 30, 6:53 PMMar 31, 10:59 PM

15.47%chance

4910564

OptionVotes

YES

NO

530

150

Will GiveWell recommend a grant to support breastfeeding promotion before 2027?

Aug 23, 6:24 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

24.15%chance

739152

OptionVotes

YES

NO

8143

3540

CATL receives license renewal for Yichun Lithium mine by end of Dec 2026?

Jun 9, 2:09 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

47.72%chance

54859

OptionVotes

YES

NO

10466

9555

Will there be a worldwide recession before 2029?

Feb 29, 4:52 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

30%chance

384108

OptionVotes

YES

NO

661

420

based on my taste in music, recommend to me an album, any album that gets over 10 points resolves to YES

Oct 21, 4:13 PMApr 16, 8:59 PM

00

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