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Prediction markets for REC

Will the U.S. enter a recession in Trump's second term?

Mar 13, 3:40 PMJan 21, 4:59 AM

55.18%chance

344282792

OptionVotes

NO

YES

5179

4940

If Trump wins, will the US enter a recession [WARNING: as measured by Sahm rule] before 2027?

Mar 11, 11:22 PMFeb 2, 7:59 AM

30.77%chance

21295967

OptionVotes

YES

NO

7344

6758

US recession in 2026?

Sep 3, 1:07 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

26.8%chance

11264500

OptionVotes

YES

NO

16539

6056

[M5000 subsidy] Will 10,000+ people receive Lantern Bioworks' cavity prevention treatment by 2030?

Jul 20, 8:26 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

67.97%chance

11857524

OptionVotes

NO

YES

9296

3502

By when will most FTX bankruptcy claimants have received their last installment ?

Jan 4, 6:05 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

732223

OptionProbability

Before Jan 2027

Before July 2026

Before Jan 2026

Before July 2025

84

60

15

1

Will GiveWell recommend a grant to support unconditional cash transfers before 2027?

Dec 18, 3:25 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

36%chance

3415050

OptionVotes

YES

NO

6351

3156

Will Kelsey Piper receive a Pulitzer Prize related to her coverage on any AI company/lab within the next 10 years?

May 23, 6:38 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

15.38%chance

3411193

OptionVotes

YES

NO

8143

1543

🚨UPDATE MARCH 2026🚨 Will a decipherment of the Voynich Manuscript be scientifically recognized by end of Dec 31, 2026

Feb 18, 11:25 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

3.33%chance

5110299

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1371

2

Will GiveWell recommend a grant to support breastfeeding promotion before 2027?

Aug 23, 6:24 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

24.01%chance

739114

OptionVotes

YES

NO

8181

3528

Will there be a worldwide recession before 2029?

Feb 29, 4:52 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

30%chance

384108

OptionVotes

YES

NO

661

420

Will Rec Room extend its closing date?

Apr 12, 11:46 AMJun 1, 11:42 AM

28.68%chance

559

OptionVotes

NO

YES

113

50

based on my taste in music, recommend to me an album, any album that gets over 10 points resolves to YES

Oct 21, 4:13 PMApr 16, 8:59 PM

00

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