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Prediction markets for REC

Will the US enter a recession by end of 2025? (Two quarters negative GDP growth)

Aug 29, 6:22 PMApr 1, 6:59 AM

1.07%chance

290314860

OptionVotes

YES

NO

129735

3007

Will the U.S. enter a recession in Trump's second term?

Mar 13, 3:40 PMJan 21, 4:59 AM

54.07%chance

340280777

OptionVotes

NO

YES

5056

5043

If Trump wins, will the US enter a recession [WARNING: as measured by Sahm rule] before 2027?

Mar 11, 11:22 PMFeb 2, 7:59 AM

32.27%chance

21194430

OptionVotes

YES

NO

7008

6913

[M5000 subsidy] Will 10,000+ people receive Lantern Bioworks' cavity prevention treatment by 2030?

Jul 20, 8:26 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

64.85%chance

11757169

OptionVotes

NO

YES

8736

3785

US recession in 2026?

Sep 3, 1:07 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

39.79%chance

9647212

OptionVotes

YES

NO

12311

8135

UK gov accepts all 47 Fingleton nuclear review recommendations by Q1 2026?

Nov 29, 7:47 PMMar 31, 11:59 PM

17.55%chance

3136474

OptionVotes

YES

NO

15558

5160

By when will most FTX bankruptcy claimants have received their last installment ?

Jan 4, 6:05 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

732223

OptionProbability

Before Jan 2027

Before July 2026

Before Jan 2026

Before July 2025

84

60

15

1

Will GiveWell recommend a grant to support unconditional cash transfers before 2027?

Dec 18, 3:25 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

36%chance

3415050

OptionVotes

YES

NO

6351

3156

Will Kelsey Piper receive a Pulitzer Prize related to her coverage on any AI company/lab within the next 10 years?

May 23, 6:38 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

15.38%chance

3411193

OptionVotes

YES

NO

8143

1543

🚨UPDATE MARCH 2026🚨 Will a decipherment of the Voynich Manuscript be scientifically recognized by end of Dec 31, 2026

Feb 18, 11:25 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

5%chance

4910126

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1342

4

Will GiveWell recommend a grant to support breastfeeding promotion before 2027?

Aug 23, 6:24 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

24.01%chance

739114

OptionVotes

YES

NO

8181

3528

based on my taste in music, recommend to me an album, any album that gets over 10 points resolves to YES

Oct 21, 4:13 PMApr 16, 8:59 PM

00

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