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Recorded Future News

What news stories of the 2020s will be included in respected history textbooks published in the 2050s?

May 23, 7:10 AMDec 30, 7:59 AM

8819859

OptionProbability

Covid

Russia-Ukraine War

Brexit

Israel-Hamas War

US Withdrawal from Afghanistan

January 6th

LLMs

George Floyd Protests

The Rise of China

Bitcoin

Private Spaceflight

Violent repression of women in Iran

Russia's takeover of the US political establishment

New York v Trump 2024

Tigray War

The Epstein Files

BRICS Expansion

Meme stocks

Enshittification

98

97

88

82

82

82

78

75

65

63

62

57

54

51

51

51

40

21

19

Which of these people will speak at Voliti Co’s Predict 2026 (predict2026.org)?

Aug 27, 10:44 PMDec 10, 11:59 PM

1616734

OptionProbability

Stephen Grugett, Manifold and MNX

Tarek Mansour, Kalshi

Luana Lopes Lara, Kalshi

Shayne Coplan, Polymarket

Michael S. Selig, Chairman of the CFTC

Terry Duffy, CME

92

70

46

27

12

10

US city, county or state is renamed, min pop 250k, by mid 2028

Jul 26, 7:15 PMAug 1, 6:59 AM

22.11%chance

910947

OptionVotes

YES

NO

18772

5327

Sen. Fetterman leaves Democratic Party before 2028 election?

May 16, 5:34 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

40.23%chance

4910650

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1219

820

Will a human complete a Perfect Run of Super Mario Bros like @summoningsalt predicts by EOY 2030

Feb 8, 2:46 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

92.38%chance

335782

OptionVotes

NO

YES

4265

1655

Will Djokovic announce his retirement in 2026?

Jan 1, 2:48 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

2.16%chance

115524

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5404

80

Trump orders active duty military to NYC by end of 2026?

Nov 5, 11:13 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

8.83%chance

144938

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3213

311

Will a right to digital privacy be established in the USA saying your AI cannot be used against you in a court of law?

May 6, 11:40 PMDec 25, 4:59 AM

10%chance

261713

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1530

1005

New Zealand Labour forms a government in 2026 without requiring support from Te Pāti Māori

Mar 21, 5:31 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

23.89%chance

91560

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1785

560

Will the next sale of the AI.com domain be for over $70 million?

Feb 9, 11:42 PMDec 31, 11:41 PM

36.04%chance

4190

OptionVotes

YES

NO

133

75

Will Ben Yan experience AI psychosis in 2026?

Apr 24, 3:13 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

51.46%chance

8133

OptionVotes

NO

YES

103

97

Will global far-right global regime cause prediction markets as concept to defunct and cease to exist before 2400?

Oct 13, 5:41 AMDec 31, 11:00 AM

5.37%chance

130

OptionVotes

YES

NO

130

98

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