Recruit News

As the war continues, will Russia begin drafting women into its military?

Jul 19, 9:54 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

5.62%chance

424602

OptionVotes

YES

2786

758

Which of these bad policies will the US abolish by 2050?

Dec 31, 5:11 PMJan 2, 5:59 AM

663584

OptionProbability

Affirmative action

the jones act

Subsidies for corn/HFCS

Disparate impact doctrine

Rent control

H1B caps

Social promotion in school

First-past-the-post voting

Federal subsidies for a negative-sum signaling arms race in higher education

Non-land property taxes

Buying a latte with bitcoin incurs capital gains because bitcoin counts as property instead of currency

Feds arresting people for plots that the feds planned and recruited them for (entrapment)

Payroll taxes

Sales taxes

Wage control

Income taxes

Does eating snow dehydrate you?

Apr 10, 4:08 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

4.42%chance

333412

OptionVotes

YES

1505

892

Will Ultra-Orthodox Jews be mandatorily conscripted by the IDF by the end of 2028?

Feb 29, 1:14 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

59.02%chance

232852

OptionVotes

YES

1145

872

Will Michael Bailey publish a fraudulent test of the gAyGP thesis by 2032?

Jan 27, 10:17 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

80%chance

11000

OptionVotes

YES

2000

500

Would a randomized controlled trial show horoscopes to work better than horoscope skeptics?

Dec 9, 8:50 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

33.44%chance

7384

OptionVotes

YES

131

102

Will AI be a great alternative career path for me as a coder if AI learns to code?

Dec 27, 2:59 PMJul 1, 9:59 PM

17383

OptionProbability

I lose my engineer privilege

I don't think working on AI will make alignment races worse

AI will not be a giant pain to work with

There will be lots of well-paid AI job opportunities for me

A Fortune 500 company will use a Roblox experience as part of their recruiting process

Sep 10, 3:03 PMSep 8, 3:03 PM

18.99%chance

17345

OptionVotes

YES

1024

787

Labour rules out Nz First for 2026 nz election?

Dec 23, 6:57 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

70%chance

562

OptionVotes

YES

130

Will the FDA stop any approved study by Neuralink before Jan 1, 2030

Jan 10, 6:34 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

29.22%chance

260

OptionVotes

YES

109

Will @FutureHouseSF recruit Keoni Gandall by EOY 2028?

Jan 4, 6:24 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

40.98%chance

110

OptionVotes

YES

Where will Arnav end up being employed?

Feb 3, 5:54 AMJul 1, 4:48 AM

OptionProbability

Anthropic

Google

Workday

OpenAI

pWc

Capital One

uber

Databricks

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As the war continues, will Russia begin drafting women into its military?

Which of these bad policies will the US abolish by 2050?

Does eating snow dehydrate you?

Will Ultra-Orthodox Jews be mandatorily conscripted by the IDF by the end of 2028?

Will Michael Bailey publish a fraudulent test of the gAyGP thesis by 2032?

Would a randomized controlled trial show horoscopes to work better than horoscope skeptics?

Will AI be a great alternative career path for me as a coder if AI learns to code?

A Fortune 500 company will use a Roblox experience as part of their recruiting process

Labour rules out Nz First for 2026 nz election?

Will the FDA stop any approved study by Neuralink before Jan 1, 2030

Will @FutureHouseSF recruit Keoni Gandall by EOY 2028?

Where will Arnav end up being employed?

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