Recruit News

Who will control the U.S. Senate after the 2026 midterms?

Jan 7, 4:24 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

577455

OptionProbability

Democrats

Republicans

Independents

As the war continues, will Russia begin drafting women into its military?

Jul 19, 9:54 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

5.78%chance

434606

OptionVotes

YES

2720

762

Which of these bad policies will the US abolish by 2050?

Dec 31, 5:11 PMJan 2, 5:59 AM

664040

OptionProbability

Affirmative action

the jones act

Disparate impact doctrine

Rent control

H1B caps

Social promotion in school

Subsidies for corn/HFCS

First-past-the-post voting

Federal subsidies for a negative-sum signaling arms race in higher education

Buying a latte with bitcoin incurs capital gains because bitcoin counts as property instead of currency

Feds arresting people for plots that the feds planned and recruited them for (entrapment)

Payroll taxes

Non-land property taxes

Sales taxes

Income taxes

Wage control

Does eating snow dehydrate you?

Apr 10, 4:08 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

4.42%chance

333412

OptionVotes

YES

1505

892

Will Ultra-Orthodox Jews be mandatorily conscripted by the IDF by the end of 2028?

Feb 29, 1:14 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

59.02%chance

232852

OptionVotes

YES

1145

872

Was Epstein a Russian asset?

Feb 9, 11:39 PMJan 1, 11:35 PM

14.9%chance

232276

OptionVotes

YES

2390

418

Will I be offered a quant role before 2030? [read desc]

Apr 17, 10:49 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

87.73%chance

132056

OptionVotes

YES

2674

374

Will Michael Bailey publish a fraudulent test of the gAyGP thesis by 2032?

Jan 27, 10:17 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

80%chance

11000

OptionVotes

YES

2000

500

Will AI be a great alternative career path for me as a coder if AI learns to code?

Dec 27, 2:59 PMJul 1, 9:59 PM

17383

OptionProbability

I lose my engineer privilege

I don't think working on AI will make alignment races worse

AI will not be a giant pain to work with

There will be lots of well-paid AI job opportunities for me

A Fortune 500 company will use a Roblox experience as part of their recruiting process

Sep 10, 3:03 PMSep 8, 3:03 PM

18.99%chance

17345

OptionVotes

YES

1024

787

Will 2026 be the last year of fresh recruiting talent entering the US workforce?

Nov 3, 2:52 PMOct 31, 11:59 PM

12.46%chance

5165

OptionVotes

YES

265

Will @FutureHouseSF recruit Keoni Gandall by EOY 2028?

Jan 4, 6:24 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

40.98%chance

110

OptionVotes

YES

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Prediction markets for Recruit

Prediction markets for Recruit

Prediction markets for Recruit

Who will control the U.S. Senate after the 2026 midterms?

As the war continues, will Russia begin drafting women into its military?

Which of these bad policies will the US abolish by 2050?

Does eating snow dehydrate you?

Will Ultra-Orthodox Jews be mandatorily conscripted by the IDF by the end of 2028?

Was Epstein a Russian asset?

Will I be offered a quant role before 2030? [read desc]

Will Michael Bailey publish a fraudulent test of the gAyGP thesis by 2032?

Will AI be a great alternative career path for me as a coder if AI learns to code?

A Fortune 500 company will use a Roblox experience as part of their recruiting process

Will 2026 be the last year of fresh recruiting talent entering the US workforce?

Will @FutureHouseSF recruit Keoni Gandall by EOY 2028?

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