Recursion News

Coding agents will close the loop

Recursively improving coding agents will succeed in the market

Coding agents will flip the initiative

The specific model will not matter as much as today; the network of agents will be important

The multi-agent paradigm will win

“Live learning” will be standard

YES

YES

It will be based on deep learning

It will be based on neural networks

Gary Marcus will be completely unimpressed by its capabilities

At least one person directly involved in its creation will be a trillionaire

More than 10 000 human hours will be spent to make sure it does not return politically incorrect outputs

It will run on Nvidia GPUs

It will wipe out humanity after the rapid recursive self-improvement

Right before the extermination event, it will be considered by the majority of human population as a prosaic thing, e.g. “it is just matrices to predict the next word”

Right before the extermination event, at least 25% of human population will think that they are smarter than it.

Before the extermination event, it will make significant extraordinary contributions to science, technology, and human well-being.

When communicating with human words, it will use the word “delve” more often than it occurs in human texts on average

It will be created by OpenAI, Anthropic or DeepMind

It will be some advanced form of a multimodal transformer

It will run on an AI architecture which is not known as of 2024

Right before the extermination event, it will be considered by the majority of human population a superintelligence with the capabilities beyond their comprehension

Meta will try to create an open source version of it

The process of wiping out humanity will take less than 24 hours from the first signs of attempts to wipe out humanity till the last human on Earth killed

Before wiping out humanity, it will attempt some trade with humanity

Right before the extermination event, alignment will be generally considered a solved problem

Robotaxis

Humanoid robots (I, Robot) - Functional autonomous humanoid robots deployed in manufacturing or service industries

Subvocalization Reading Inspired by: "The Moon is a Harsh Mistress" by Robert A. Heinlein

Spectral Biosignature Detection in exoplanets. Inspired by: "The Three-Body Problem"

Government Disclosure of Alien Evidence: Media Inspiration: "The X-Files" (1993–2018).

Brain-computer interfaces (BCIs)

Advanced prosthetics (RoboCop) - Fully integrated bionic limbs with sensory feedback

Exoplanet Radio Signal Detection. Inspired by: "Contact" by Carl Sagan

NO

Twist Bioscience

Recursion Pharmaceuticals

10x genomics

YES

NO

YES

YES