RED News

Will the Red-Haired Pirates be revealed to be the Holy Knights all along?

Sep 4, 7:49 AMMay 1, 5:59 AM

3429843

OptionProbability

Shanks is the only holy knight (past member or current member) from the Red-Haired Pirates

Other

No, they are not the holy knights nor do they have any affiliation (besides Garling)

Someone else from the Red-haired Pirates besides Shanks was a past member or is a current member of the holy knights

Yes, the Red-Haired Pirates ARE the holy knights

Will Max Verstappen be a Red Bull driver in the first race of the 2026 season?

Aug 20, 3:31 AMMar 10, 6:59 AM

98.51%chance

5016243

OptionVotes

YES

8131

123

Will Greenland be renamed "Red, White, and Blueland"

Feb 11, 9:49 PMJan 21, 7:59 AM

2.61%chance

2510773

OptionVotes

YES

6103

164

Will the official ClaudePlaysPokemon stream complete Pokémon Red?

Feb 25, 4:27 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

93.67%chance

428567

OptionVotes

YES

3855

261

Mets, Yankees, or Red Sox switch leagues in baseball before 2028

Jul 4, 2:06 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

4.6%chance

152272

OptionVotes

YES

2879

810

Will the MBTA Red Blue Connector be open by EOY 2030?

Nov 10, 11:24 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

15.96%chance

3621

OptionVotes

YES

1211

380

Will all Five Eyes countries be governed by red parties before the end of Trump’s second term?

Apr 28, 10:24 PMJan 20, 5:00 PM

38.58%chance

15583

OptionVotes

YES

1143

899

What Conservation Status Will the IUCN Assign to the Tiger (Panthera tigris) in Its Next Red List Assessment?

Jan 14, 12:10 PMDec 15, 10:59 PM

6215

OptionProbability

Endangered

Vulnerable

Critically Endangered

Least Concern

Near Threatened

Critically Endangered (Possibly Extinct in the Wild)

Critically Endangered (Possibly Extinct)

Extinct in the Wild

Extinct

Data Deficient

Not Evaluated

New Conservation Status

No Assessment for Taxonomic Reasons

Other

Will the Red Panda (Ailurus fulgens) become extinct in the current century?

Mar 11, 1:58 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

18.52%chance

5196

OptionVotes

YES

694

415

Will "Red-Thing-Ism" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Aug 25, 3:26 AMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

14.23%chance

3180

OptionVotes

YES

1003

984

Will "Global Call for AI Red Lines - Signed by Nobe..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Sep 23, 12:44 AMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

13.32%chance

251

OptionVotes

YES

1051

992

When will the Red Roses (England Rugby Women) next lose a game?

Sep 28, 8:22 AMSep 28, 8:21 AM

130

OptionProbability

1H 2026

2H 2026

1H 2027

Other

2H 2027

RED News

Prediction markets for RED

Prediction markets for RED

Prediction markets for RED

Will the Red-Haired Pirates be revealed to be the Holy Knights all along?

Will Max Verstappen be a Red Bull driver in the first race of the 2026 season?

Will Greenland be renamed "Red, White, and Blueland"

Will the official ClaudePlaysPokemon stream complete Pokémon Red?

Mets, Yankees, or Red Sox switch leagues in baseball before 2028

Will the MBTA Red Blue Connector be open by EOY 2030?

Will all Five Eyes countries be governed by red parties before the end of Trump’s second term?

What Conservation Status Will the IUCN Assign to the Tiger (Panthera tigris) in Its Next Red List Assessment?

Will the Red Panda (Ailurus fulgens) become extinct in the current century?

Will "Red-Thing-Ism" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Will "Global Call for AI Red Lines - Signed by Nobe..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

When will the Red Roses (England Rugby Women) next lose a game?

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