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Prediction markets for RedMan
Will we have a superhuman mathematician by the beginning of 2026 (as defined here: https://twitter.com/ChrSzegedy/status/1598341927828594688)?
Dec 4, 11:56 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
11.46%chance
322220
OptionVotes
1915
772
Will the first self-driving car company to deploy in 50 cities use an end-to-end approach?
Oct 6, 1:13 PMJan 14, 4:59 AM
72.59%chance
181548
OptionVotes
1736
350
In 5 years, will we see "dozens of cures every month as opposed to every few years"?
Jul 11, 2:50 AMJul 11, 3:59 AM
13%chance
10449
OptionVotes
353
142