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Prediction markets for Reduce from Hold
Prediction markets for Reduce from Hold
Will Trump kill or neuter Vox or The Atlantic during his term?
Jan 16, 5:09 PM
Jan 20, 10:59 PM
13.59%
chance
14
3292
Option
Votes
YES
NO
2522
397
6. An AI system will pass the Turing test for speech.
Dec 27, 8:17 AM
Jan 3, 10:59 PM
70.97%
chance
14
2307
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1564
640
Will the Chinese Yuan be among the top 3 global payments currencies before 2030?
Apr 30, 11:27 PM
Dec 31, 12:00 PM
44.11%
chance
10
337
Option
Votes
NO
YES
119
77
Will the UK Government reduce its current Bitcoin holdings before the next general election?
Dec 3, 2:59 PM
Jul 4, 10:59 PM
41.58%
chance
3
310
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1185
844
Will the Gulf Railway be completed by 2030?
Aug 15, 5:40 AM
Dec 31, 3:59 PM
29%
chance
7
120
Option
Votes
YES
NO
203
149
Will David Chalmers publicly endorse physicalism about consciousness by 2030?
Nov 5, 4:17 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
21.51%
chance
7
114
Option
Votes
YES
NO
383
242
Potential questions for long bet on Robin Hanson Orthodox Jews thesis (500 mana / 100 per great question or comment)
Oct 16, 1:57 AM
0
0
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