OptionVotes
YES
NO
2429
412
OptionProbability
A (phased) lifting of specific U.S. economic and oil sanctions on Iran.
Strict international, intrusive monitoring of Iran's nuclear facilities.
A formal commitment to end Iranian proxy activities in the Middle East.
Opening of navigation in the Strait of Hormuz without tolls.
A permanent cap on Iranian uranium enrichment levels.
A permanent end to the war and a guarantee that Iran will not be attacked again
An end to Israeli strikes in Lebanon.
A restriction on Iran's development or testing of long-range ballistic missiles.
The deal will not be reached or finalized by December 31, 2026.
A reduction or withdrawal of U.S. naval forces from the Persian Gulf.
82
59
55
54
50
49
40
32
17
179
56
Below 0.6
0.6 - 0.7
0.7 - 0.8
0.80 - 0.9
0.90 - 1.0
Above 1.0
