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Top stories

Scottish MSP Graham Simpson Jumps to Nigel Farage’s Reform UK

Scottish MSP Graham Simpson Jumps to Nigel Farage’s Reform UK

Authors

5

5 months ago

Prediction markets for Reform

Will Reform win the next UK election?

Aug 13, 11:58 PMAug 15, 10:59 PM

45%chance

12992711

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1209

1004

Will Reform UK and the Conservative Party merge before the next General Election, OR 15 August 2029?

Jan 3, 1:57 PMAug 15, 10:59 PM

15.45%chance

206717

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2340

427

Will the Conservative and Reform parties merge or closely cooperate before the end of the next election?

Jul 11, 12:24 PMJan 18, 11:59 PM

52.71%chance

245995

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2063

1941

How many MPs will Reform UK have when the next UK General Election is called?

Mar 24, 7:54 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

163107

OptionProbability

Above 15

8 - 10

5 - 7

11 - 15

0

1

2

3 - 4

46

21

13

12

2

2

2

2

Will Nigel Farage lead the Reform UK party into the next General Election?

Jan 5, 3:07 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

83.17%chance

253024

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2223

450

Reform UK, French National Rally, and AfD all in power simultaneously this decade?

Sep 18, 4:13 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

12.44%chance

41265

OptionVotes

YES

NO

265

38

Will R.E.M. reform and play a live tour before the end of 2027?

Jan 1, 12:37 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

35.92%chance

151221

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1336

749

Will Major Copyright Reforms Affecting AI-Generated Works Be Enacted by 2026?

Nov 13, 7:47 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

63.69%chance

10668

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1324

755

Will we see significant software patent reform in the USA before 2030?

Jan 31, 6:28 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

27.92%chance

12608

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1017

983

Great Hwan Empire or Proto-Finnic Holy Roman Khaganate reformation attempt?

Jul 8, 3:45 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM

45.13%chance

4227

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1103

907

B.C. passes elevator reform?

Jun 16, 2:05 AMJun 17, 2:01 AM

54.33%chance

5140

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1091

917

Will the U.S. Senate be abolished or significantly reformed by 2100?

Sep 25, 11:44 PMDec 31, 5:59 AM

50.48%chance

110

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1010

990

Latest stories

Latest stories

Aug 27, 2025
Aug 27, 2025
Britain
Politics
World
Scottish MSP Graham Simpson Jumps to Nigel Farage’s Reform UK
Authors
5
5 months ago

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