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Top stories

St George’s Cross Surge Spurs Immigration Debate in England

St George’s Cross Surge Spurs Immigration Debate in England

Authors

18

1 year ago

Scottish MSP Graham Simpson Jumps to Nigel Farage’s Reform UK

Scottish MSP Graham Simpson Jumps to Nigel Farage’s Reform UK

Authors

5

1 year ago

UK Court Lets 138 Asylum Seekers Remain at Epping Hotel

UK Court Lets 138 Asylum Seekers Remain at Epping Hotel

Authors

6

1 year ago

Musk Pledges Funding for Lawsuits Over UK Grooming Gang Failures

Authors

14

1 year ago

Taliban Says It Would Accept Afghans Deported Under Farage Plan

Authors

3

1 year ago

Labour at 20% Records Lowest Poll Since 2019 as Reform UK Leads at 28% and Conservatives Fall to 17% in August YouGov Survey

Authors

7

1 year ago

‘Operation Raise the Colours’ Sparks Row Over St George’s Cross Displays

Authors

10

1 year ago

Prediction markets for Reform UK

Will Reform win the next UK election?

Aug 13, 11:58 PMAug 15, 10:59 PM

21.93%chance

152107666

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2072

590

Will Reform win less than 50 seats at the next UK General election?

Aug 13, 11:59 PMAug 15, 10:59 PM

21%chance

4741953

OptionVotes

YES

NO

194

52

Will The Startup Party get more seats in Parliament after the next general election than Reform UK will?

Jul 21, 1:09 PMAug 16, 10:59 PM

0.96%chance

2135436

OptionVotes

YES

NO

10149

99

Will Nigel Farage lead the Reform UK party into the next General Election?

Jan 5, 3:07 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

69%chance

4511851

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1490

542

Will Elon Musk donate at least £10 million to Reform UK before the next general election?

Dec 3, 8:13 PMAug 10, 10:59 PM

6.9%chance

289100

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3673

272

Will Reform UK and the Conservative Party merge before the next General Election, OR 15 August 2029?

Jan 3, 1:57 PMAug 15, 10:59 PM

5.22%chance

227665

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4263

235

Will Reform UK polling collapse in 2026?

Jan 1, 6:13 PMDec 17, 11:59 PM

42.6%chance

414934

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1179

681

How many MPs will Reform UK have when the next UK General Election is called?

Mar 24, 7:54 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

173157

OptionProbability

Above 15

8 - 10

5 - 7

11 - 15

0

1

2

3 - 4

46

21

13

12

2

2

2

1

Will Reform UK top the YouGov voting intention poll at the time of the next UK general election, but lose?

Feb 12, 2:39 PMAug 15, 10:59 PM

18.5%chance

132726

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2099

476

Will Reform be the official opposition after the next UK election?

Aug 13, 11:58 PMAug 15, 10:59 PM

27%chance

242596

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1644

608

Nigel Farage out as Reform UK Leader before 1st March 2027?

Sep 4, 8:14 AMFeb 28, 11:59 PM

27.39%chance

192154

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1093

962

In the next UK general election, Will Reform UK and Restore Britain be top 2 in any seat?

Feb 26, 6:51 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

31.63%chance

13214

OptionVotes

YES

NO

290

140

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