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Will any restaurant serve hybrid-rice (rice grains integrated with animal cells) regularly by the end of 2026?

Feb 18, 2:18 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

10.63%chance

402422

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2435

658

Will Joel Embiid finish his career with 2 or more regular season MVPs?

Jun 27, 3:39 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

15.94%chance

242285

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1610

765

Will Guadians starting pitcher Tanner Bibee finish the 2026 MLB regular season with an ERA below 4.30?

Mar 2, 8:07 PMNov 2, 6:59 AM

42.71%chance

52145

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1158

863

Will a regulatory body modeled on the FDA regulate AI in the US by the end of 2027?

Oct 19, 12:24 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

16.34%chance

272080

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1501

850

Will AI be regularly used to diagnose complex diseases by 2028?

Jan 19, 2:08 AMJul 2, 4:59 AM

26.13%chance

301765

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1292

854

Will the FDP receive more than 5% of the vote in the next German federal election (regularly in 2029)?

Mar 3, 9:59 PMMar 31, 9:59 PM

28.33%chance

111390

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1611

641

Will Dwarf Fortress still be receiving regular updates when James Cameron's Avatar 4 releases?

Jan 17, 5:03 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

86.17%chance

231275

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1821

779

[Metaculus] Will an International AI regulatory agency for oversight of transformative AI be established before 2030?

Oct 16, 1:24 PMJan 2, 8:00 PM

66.16%chance

20810

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1008

987

Will there be easy auto-translation of the entire Chinese Internet into English by 2027? (such that people in America can easily and regularly hold conversations with people in China - with minimal loss of interpretation)?

Oct 4, 12:39 AMOct 11, 3:59 AM

74.79%chance

26735

OptionVotes

YES

NO

998

935

Will >100,000 people regularly use visual AR during everyday life by 2030

Dec 22, 2:00 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

75.32%chance

28720

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1136

941

The Elam ending will used in a regular season or playoffs NBA game before 2030

Mar 6, 4:53 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

39.56%chance

17453

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1149

813

OU requires hechsher for plain coffee from regular shops by Dec 31, 2026?

Dec 3, 10:23 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

49.88%chance

2100

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1002

998

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