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Prediction markets for REI

Will Jordan Chiles's bronze medal be reinstated?

Aug 11, 9:50 PMDec 31, 5:59 AM

15%chance

8662741

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2380

420

Will China reinstate or enforce export restrictions on gallium after current suspension expires in Nov?

Dec 26, 5:09 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

35.3%chance

196946

OptionVotes

YES

NO

13549

7392

Will Nick Reiner be pardoned by Trump?

Dec 16, 3:32 PMJan 18, 11:59 PM

2.62%chance

185290

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5174

62

Will Jimmy Fallon outlast Trump's reign as host of the The Tonight Show?

Sep 19, 3:21 PMJan 20, 11:59 PM

66.8%chance

254576

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1152

918

Will reinforcement learning overtake LMs on math before 2028?

May 29, 11:10 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

60.78%chance

394345

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1390

541

Will Overwatch 2 reintroduce 6v6 as the main competitive mode?

Jun 28, 10:54 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

31.49%chance

144026

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1475

678

Will we get rational reinforcement learning before 2027?

May 11, 6:19 AMDec 30, 11:59 PM

35.55%chance

121107

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1349

746

Will exoskeleton hiking pants be available to purchase from REI before June 2027?

Apr 25, 5:07 AMMay 31, 11:59 PM

41.08%chance

111042

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1198

835

Will Amberlynn Reid post a video on her demonitized YouTube channel before April 1st?

Mar 15, 12:12 PMApr 1, 3:59 AM

26.2%chance

11688

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1311

864

Will the 500 euro note be reissued by 2030?

Jan 12, 5:51 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

21.69%chance

25477

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1277

880

Will Senegal be officially reinstated as champions of the Africa Cup of Nations?

Mar 23, 6:39 AMJun 23, 5:32 AM

40.26%chance

5460

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1453

326

Who will win -66kg at the 2026 ADCC World Championship?

Jan 13, 6:03 AMSep 10, 12:59 AM

219

OptionProbability

Diogo "Baby Shark" Reis

Dorian Olivarez

Niko Mikuliszyn

Deandre Corbe

Other

40

22

13

13

13

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