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Prediction markets for Related

Will any spaceship exceed 10% of the speed of light relative to its planet of origin before 9999?

Jul 13, 5:38 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

83.71%chance

85130764

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2919

859

Did Trump have sexual relations with an underage girl? (based on 2025 evidence, according to future poll)

Jul 23, 2:48 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

50%chance

33081033

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1000

1000

Is the LK-99 breakthrough somehow related to the recent revalations regarding aliens visiting earth?

Aug 4, 9:12 PMSep 12, 3:59 AM

2%chance

2524991

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2740

893

Will OpenAI have AI-related IP stolen before 2026?

Aug 1, 5:51 PMJan 2, 10:59 PM

29.34%chance

3715726

OptionVotes

YES

NO

15561

6394

Will Anthropic have AI-related IP stolen before 2026?

Aug 1, 5:55 PMJan 2, 10:59 PM

27.76%chance

3411468

OptionVotes

YES

NO

16142

6178

Will Kelsey Piper receive a Pulitzer Prize related to her coverage on any AI company/lab within the next 10 years?

May 23, 6:38 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

15.41%chance

3311183

OptionVotes

YES

NO

8133

1545

Will an AI related disaster kill a million people or cause $1T of damage before 2070?

Sep 2, 8:54 AMSep 9, 10:59 PM

44%chance

568669

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1047

854

Will there be a relatively self-sustaining extraterrestial colony before 2050?

Jun 11, 7:59 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

23.63%chance

528564

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1798

556

Will Google Deepmind have AI-related IP stolen before 2026?

Aug 1, 5:58 PMJan 2, 10:59 PM

25.34%chance

268339

OptionVotes

YES

NO

17404

5528

Will someone take desperate measures due to expectations of AI-related risks by January 1, 2035?

May 18, 11:08 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

90.54%chance

383908

OptionVotes

NO

YES

7894

5344

Does any eating window reduce chance of cancer related death?

Mar 24, 1:48 AMSep 16, 4:59 AM

52.19%chance

221456

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1101

887

Will there be another spaceflight-related death by 2030?

Feb 11, 7:17 PMFeb 18, 11:59 PM

51.25%chance

331312

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1075

906

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