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Prediction markets for Related Companies

Donut Battery is essentially Lithium free?

Mar 4, 3:00 AMJan 1, 3:50 AM

15.36%chance

169628273

OptionVotes

YES

NO

234767

42595

Should we hire you? [Job-finding market]

Aug 3, 4:44 PMDec 30, 4:14 PM

6597859

OptionProbability

Dummy answer required due to Manifold's multiple-choice market design, will resolve N/A

@retr0id

@vi

@Bandors

@zhengkyl

@Eternal

@Cy

@8my41

@astroblob

@AlirezaAfshan

@AtharvPatil

@Quroe

@Celene

Pat Scott @Stralor

50

25

20

18

15

15

14

13

11

10

10

0

0

0

Will there be an AI bubble before 2030?

May 22, 1:02 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

67.15%chance

10421777

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1336

759

Will Alcoa Corporation's primary aluminum production for calendar year 2028 exceed 2.6 million tonnes?

May 4, 5:53 PMMay 31, 11:59 PM

76.87%chance

617475

OptionVotes

NO

YES

18229

5486

Space datacenter industry generates $100M+ annual revenue by December 31, 2029

Oct 31, 7:30 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

38.08%chance

3215738

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1276

785

AI bubble pops in 2026?

Nov 10, 12:41 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

14.89%chance

8313640

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5343

2013

Will Koi be the first species we uplift?

Dec 20, 7:30 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

13.03%chance

738853

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2588

1201

10. Brain-computer interfaces transition to mainstream technology, Neuralink position in lead shakier [See full title!]

Dec 28, 11:39 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

35%chance

325852

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1365

735

Will the AI bubble pop before 2028?

Feb 12, 8:12 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

29.37%chance

404076

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1551

645

What AI-related companies will quintuple their value by mid 2027?

Nov 11, 3:08 AMJul 6, 3:59 AM

131422

OptionProbability

Micron

Intel

AMD

Lam Research

SMCI

TSMC

Dell

Velodar / Ouster (OUST)

ASML

Qualcomm

Softbank

ARM

NVIDIA

Baidu

Tesla

Amazon

Google / Alphabet

Palantir

Meta

Alibaba

Symbotic

Apple

Microsoft

Mobileye

Walmart

Berkshire Hathaway

Intuitive Surgical

JPMorgan Chase

84

72

68

44

41

33

30

25

24

20

18

17

16

15

13

12

11

11

10

10

10

5

5

5

3

3

2

2

Will the FDA publicly accept a multi-condition geroscience endpoint as sufficient to establish efficacy before 2036?

Jul 14, 11:45 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

57.59%chance

7575

OptionVotes

NO

YES

6240

5801

Will Alphabet Emissions end at?

Mar 8, 9:09 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

00

OptionProbability

Below 2.0

2.0 - 2.5

2.5 - 3.0

3.0 - 3.5

3.5-4.0

Above 4.0

17

17

17

17

17

17

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