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Prediction markets for Related Companies

Will there be an AI bubble before 2030?

May 22, 1:02 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

75%chance

8918675

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1642

635

Harvey AI publicly announces $200M+ ARR by EOY2026?

Aug 3, 11:23 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

74.52%chance

1718130

OptionVotes

NO

YES

17131

5858

Space datacenter industry generates $100M+ annual revenue by December 31, 2029

Oct 31, 7:30 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

30%chance

1811438

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1529

655

Will Koi be the first species we uplift?

Dec 20, 7:30 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

13.95%chance

728703

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2438

1224

AI bubble pops in 2026?

Nov 10, 12:41 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

26.17%chance

496230

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3298

2518

A publicly-traded Google competitor's search-derived revenue exceeds Google's search-derived revenue for four consecutive quarters before 2028.

Oct 1, 2:25 AMDec 31, 4:01 PM

18.94%chance

505679

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1425

852

10. Brain-computer interfaces transition to mainstream technology, Neuralink position in lead shakier [See full title!]

Dec 28, 11:39 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

48.44%chance

213540

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1033

971

Elon Musk financially backs campaign to remove Trump from office?

Jun 6, 3:13 PMDec 31, 4:06 PM

18.12%chance

172277

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2126

470

8. AI a central issue in the 2026 U.S. midterms. Politics get complex, especially regarding job oss [See full title!]

Dec 28, 11:33 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

48.93%chance

171609

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1023

980

If passed, will SB 1047 cover any Open Source model before 2029, not including those of Meta, OpenAI, Anthropic, etc?

Aug 29, 2:46 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

45.35%chance

61165

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1098

911

What AI-related companies will quintuple their value by mid 2027?

Nov 11, 3:08 AMJul 6, 3:59 AM

11788

OptionProbability

Micron

SMCI

Velodar / Ouster (OUST)

Symbotic

NVIDIA

AMD

ASML

Tesla

TSMC

Lam Research

Softbank

Mobileye

ARM

Qualcomm

Meta

Baidu

Alibaba

Intel

Palantir

Dell

Amazon

Intuitive Surgical

Apple

Google / Alphabet

Microsoft

Berkshire Hathaway

JPMorgan Chase

Walmart

38

32

27

26

24

24

24

23

21

21

20

18

17

17

17

17

16

15

15

14

14

12

11

11

10

9

8

6

Alcoa's aluminum segment 2026 production exceeds 2.3 Mt (2,300 kt)

Jan 12, 7:33 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

65.24%chance

9400

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1370

730

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