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Prediction markets for Relay
Prediction markets for Relay
Will a large language model beat a super grandmaster playing chess by EOY 2028?
Jun 19, 11:34 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
62.17%
chance
73
12380
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1282
780
Will Apple announce it has agreed to acquire Disney by the end of 2025?
Nov 12, 11:10 PM
Jan 2, 7:59 AM
2.92%
chance
36
7194
Option
Votes
YES
NO
4683
706
Will China be stripped of at least three swimming medals from the Tokyo Olympics?
Apr 20, 10:16 AM
Aug 31, 3:59 PM
20.01%
chance
15
827
Option
Votes
YES
NO
442
105
Will Apple announce it has agreed to acquire Disney by the end of 2030?
Nov 13, 5:52 PM
Jan 2, 7:59 AM
8.9%
chance
8
548
Option
Votes
YES
NO
498
108
Will Donald Trump post on Nostr?
Sep 17, 11:35 AM
Sep 24, 9:59 PM
7.5%
chance
13
464
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1314
942
Manifold pre-money valuation in the next funding round (in thousands of dollars)
Feb 9, 3:48 AM
Jan 1, 2:59 AM
50.72%
chance
6
410
Option
Probability
NO
YES
717
272
Wearable self-driving car safety dongle with 1m users by end of 2030
Oct 1, 6:10 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
13.58%
chance
8
296
Option
Votes
YES
NO
374
134
Does an anonymous email relay exist to connect User A and User B with anonymized emails and names similar to craigslist?
Jul 13, 11:22 PM
Jul 14, 6:59 AM
0
0
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