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Prediction markets for Relay

Will Apple announce a foldable iPhone by the end of 2026?

Jan 1, 6:46 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

75.68%chance

30575155

OptionVotes

NO

YES

8484

6150

Will a large language model beat a super grandmaster playing chess by EOY 2028?

Jun 19, 11:34 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

60.54%chance

8514858

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1239

807

Will Mexico still host all of the planned FIFA World Cup games this year?

Feb 25, 3:58 AMJul 20, 10:59 PM

87.09%chance

544094

OptionVotes

YES

NO

10078

9989

Will Apple CEO Tim Cook announce his retirement or resignation by the end of 2030?

Jan 2, 5:06 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

97.68%chance

61484

OptionVotes

NO

YES

649

15

Will Apple announce a foldable iPhone by the end of 2030?

Jan 2, 4:59 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

90%chance

13876

OptionVotes

NO

YES

300

33

Will Apple announce it has agreed to acquire Disney by the end of 2030?

Nov 13, 5:52 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

22.41%chance

13845

OptionVotes

YES

NO

236

151

Will Apple announce it has agreed to acquire Comcast by the end of 2026?

Jan 1, 6:31 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

5.83%chance

10499

OptionVotes

YES

NO

402

25

Will Apple announce it has agreed to acquire Disney by the end of 2026?

Jan 1, 6:29 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

6.79%chance

11477

OptionVotes

YES

NO

371

27

Will Donald Trump post on Nostr?

Sep 17, 11:35 AMSep 24, 9:59 PM

7.5%chance

13464

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1314

942

Wearable self-driving car safety dongle with 1m users by end of 2030

Oct 1, 6:10 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

13.58%chance

8296

OptionVotes

YES

NO

374

134

Will CGP Grey return to Cortex podcast before 2027?

Mar 1, 9:29 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

26%chance

6269

OptionVotes

YES

NO

169

59

Does an anonymous email relay exist to connect User A and User B with anonymized emails and names similar to craigslist?

Jul 13, 11:22 PMJul 14, 6:59 AM

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