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Prediction markets for Relay

Will Apple announce a foldable iPhone by the end of 2026?

Jan 1, 6:46 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

90%chance

32794264

OptionVotes

NO

YES

17704

4439

Will Mexico still host all of the planned FIFA World Cup games this year?

Feb 25, 3:58 AMJul 20, 10:59 PM

92.95%chance

7016402

OptionVotes

NO

YES

17913

9249

Will a large language model beat a super grandmaster playing chess by EOY 2028?

Jun 19, 11:34 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

60%chance

8514881

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1225

816

Will Apple announce a foldable iPhone by the end of 2030?

Jan 2, 4:59 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

92.36%chance

171173

OptionVotes

NO

YES

348

29

Will China be stripped of at least three swimming medals from the Tokyo Olympics?

Apr 20, 10:16 AMAug 31, 3:59 PM

14.94%chance

181067

OptionVotes

YES

NO

525

88

Will Apple announce it has agreed to acquire Disney by the end of 2026?

Jan 1, 6:29 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

3.91%chance

13704

OptionVotes

YES

NO

497

20

Will I enter a relationship by the end of summer 2026?

Apr 1, 2:36 AMSep 21, 11:59 PM

30.04%chance

19609

OptionVotes

YES

NO

153

66

Will Apple announce it has agreed to acquire Comcast by the end of 2026?

Jan 1, 6:31 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

4.37%chance

10569

OptionVotes

YES

NO

468

21

Will Donald Trump post on Nostr?

Sep 17, 11:35 AMSep 24, 9:59 PM

7.5%chance

13464

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1314

942

Wearable self-driving car safety dongle with 1m users by end of 2030

Oct 1, 6:10 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

13.58%chance

8296

OptionVotes

YES

NO

374

134

Will Ukraine attack Belarus by the end of 2026

Jun 23, 9:15 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

42%chance

5108

OptionVotes

YES

NO

118

85

Does an anonymous email relay exist to connect User A and User B with anonymized emails and names similar to craigslist?

Jul 13, 11:22 PMJul 14, 6:59 AM

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