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Prediction markets for Reliance
Will GiveWell fund Mass distribution of azithromycin to reduce child mortality by 1st January 2027?
Dec 17, 4:17 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
26.08%chance
188507
OptionVotes
6378
3288
As the war continues, will Russia begin drafting women into its military?
Jul 19, 9:54 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
5.62%chance
424602
OptionVotes
2786
758
Will 1% of Americans be cognitively augmented humans by 2033?
May 11, 1:46 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
13%chance
231261
OptionVotes
1713
838
Will Hanoi ban gas powered bikes within Ring Roads 1 within one year?
Jul 15, 10:32 PMJul 15, 10:28 PM
49.66%chance
3661
OptionVotes
1007
993
3. China’s AI chip sector make significant strides, planting seeds for eventual decline on Nvidia [See full title!]
Dec 28, 11:24 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
63.96%chance
8548
OptionVotes
1334
752
Will 25% of Americans be cognitively augmented humans by 2040?
May 1, 9:18 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM
19.45%chance
22500
OptionVotes
989
987
Will a Fifth European country make it legal to pay blood plasma donors before EOY 2027?
Dec 8, 1:43 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
73.99%chance
15419
OptionVotes
1113
945
Will 25% of EU citizens be cognitively augmented humans by 2040?
May 1, 9:41 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM
19.11%chance
19383
OptionVotes
1087
962
Will Mukesh Ambani (billionaire chairman of Reliance Industries) be charged with a serious crime before 2030?
May 13, 2:59 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
13.88%chance
3124
OptionVotes
186
54
Which of the following companies will be in the top 20 companies in the world by market cap on Jan 1st 2050?
Jan 28, 4:41 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM
6120
OptionProbability
61
55
55
55
52
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
46
45
42
41
40
40
38
38
38
31
31
In what year will Al achieve 95% or higher score on the Humanity’s Last Exam benchmark?
Jun 21, 4:53 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM
378
OptionProbability
16
15
15
14
14
14
14
Do I Have an Over-Reliance on Peer-Reviewed Studies While Not Critically Evaluating Them? [Permanent]
Apr 11, 9:10 PMApr 12, 4:59 AM
450
OptionProbability
121
99
Latest stories
Latest stories
- Reliance Plans 2026 Jio IPO, Unveils AI Venture With Google and MetaAuthors185 months ago
