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Prediction markets for Render Services

When will the Rabbit R1 stop working?

Jan 11, 6:41 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

474705

OptionProbability

2026

2027

2029

2028

2030+

2025

2024

27

22

18

17

12

2

1

Will Donald Trump be assassinated before the end of his presidency?

Apr 5, 1:52 PMJan 21, 4:59 AM

12%chance

422020

OptionVotes

YES

NO

271

37

Will it become practically impossible to verify the authenticity of humans using the internet by 2026?

Mar 18, 12:22 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

56.22%chance

371941

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1047

931

Will Fortnite or Roblox run in a web browser before Jan 1st 2027?

Jul 2, 7:20 PMDec 31, 3:59 PM

31%chance

191440

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1436

704

Will a cruise ship be sunk by terrorists or a state military force by the end of 2027?

Apr 4, 11:33 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

11.98%chance

10919

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1001

1000

State of AI-rendered games [Read Description]

Sep 24, 4:43 PMDec 31, 4:38 PM

9662

OptionProbability

2030

2029

2028

2027

2026

2025

59

58

50

39

27

0

How will the lawsuit over the sale of my home resolve in 2026?

Apr 24, 3:31 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

6572

OptionProbability

Appeal or other delay into 2027

Judgment primarily for me (25-99%)

Judgment entirely for me (100%+)

Judgment approximately even (+/-25%)

Settlement to sell for >= $1.6M

Settlement to sell for < $1.6M

Judgment entirely for buyer (100%+)

Judgment primarily for buyer (25-99%)

27

21

16

12

7

6

6

6

Will Iran suffer an oil blockade, and will the regime fall this year?

Mar 29, 2:55 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

17505

OptionProbability

Oil blockade, regime stays

Oil blockade, regime changes

No oil blockade, regime changes

No oil blockade, regime stays

83

12

2

2

Will the physical remains of Donald Trump lie in state in the capitol rotunda?

Mar 27, 10:28 PMDec 27, 10:20 PM

58.93%chance

8314

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1078

940

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