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Prediction markets for Render Services

Will Fortnite or Roblox run in a web browser before Jan 1st 2027?

Jul 2, 7:20 PMDec 31, 3:59 PM

68.61%chance

246274

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1500

629

When will the Rabbit R1 stop working?

Jan 11, 6:41 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

485070

OptionProbability

2027

2029

2028

2030+

2026

2025

2024

25

22

21

19

9

2

1

How will the lawsuit over the sale of my home resolve in 2026?

Apr 24, 3:31 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

124401

OptionProbability

Appeal or other delay into 2027

Judgment primarily for buyer (25-99%)

Judgment entirely for buyer (100%+)

Settlement to sell for < $1.6M

Judgment approximately even (+/-25%)

Settlement to sell for >= $1.6M

Judgment primarily for me (25-99%)

Judgment entirely for me (100%+)

70

8

7

6

3

2

2

2

Will Donald Trump be assassinated before the end of his presidency?

Apr 5, 1:52 PMJan 21, 4:59 AM

7.83%chance

473144

OptionVotes

YES

NO

343

29

Will it become practically impossible to verify the authenticity of humans using the internet by 2026?

Mar 18, 12:22 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

57.86%chance

371969

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1085

902

Will a cruise ship be sunk by terrorists or a state military force by the end of 2027?

Apr 4, 11:33 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

10.89%chance

111019

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1101

987

Will Iran suffer an oil blockade, and will the regime fall this year?

Mar 29, 2:55 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

20872

OptionProbability

Oil blockade, regime stays

Oil blockade, regime changes

No oil blockade, regime changes

No oil blockade, regime stays

95

3

1

1

State of AI-rendered games [Read Description]

Sep 24, 4:43 PMDec 31, 4:38 PM

12799

OptionProbability

2030

2029

2028

2027

2026

2025

61

55

50

40

27

0

Will a Democratic president begin demolishing Trump’s White House ballroom before Jan 20, 2031

May 14, 7:21 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

31.41%chance

14649

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1478

677

Will the physical remains of Donald Trump lie in state in the capitol rotunda?

Mar 27, 10:28 PMDec 27, 10:20 PM

58.35%chance

9324

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1064

950

Will all type of vaccines be abolished during the second Trump administration?

Sep 16, 5:52 AMJan 20, 7:30 AM

3.28%chance

252

OptionVotes

YES

NO

152

98

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