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Prediction markets for ReNew Power

[Metaculus] Will solar power on Earth dominate renewable energy consumption before 2031?

Oct 13, 4:17 PMJul 2, 5:00 PM

85%chance

434389

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1908

644

Will humanity establish the foundations for a Type 1 civilization by the end of the 21st century?

Dec 31, 8:58 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

54.61%chance

281702

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1032

938

Will WW3 start before gta6?

Feb 28, 7:36 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

18%chance

221671

OptionVotes

YES

NO

213

47

Will a tech giant build a dedicated nuclear power plant for AI operations before 2040?

Sep 25, 8:51 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

76.04%chance

101092

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1782

561

9. One of the large global pharma companies will acquire one of the leading protein AI startups.

Dec 28, 11:36 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

59.78%chance

6671

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1221

822

Alcoa's aluminum segment 2026 production exceeds 2.3 Mt (2,300 kt)

Jan 12, 7:33 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

67.52%chance

10472

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1442

694

How many nuclear reactors will Spain have in 2028?

May 3, 4:08 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

11407

OptionProbability

6

7

Below 6

Above 7

36

27

25

4

By the year 2030, renewable energy sources will account for more than 50% of the world's total energy consumption.

Aug 6, 8:16 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

14.33%chance

13356

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1101

965

Will even 500m of Saudi Arabia's "The Line" project be built until 2030?

May 18, 11:18 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

38.81%chance

10268

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1117

905

Will there be another nation-wide blackout in Spain by 2027?

Jan 1, 2:38 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM

13.7%chance

6245

OptionVotes

YES

NO

354

113

Will the Coalition next split before the next election?

Feb 8, 4:59 AMDec 30, 10:59 PM

48.94%chance

6215

OptionVotes

YES

NO

126

65

Will Katharina Reiche stop being the german Minister of Energy by the next regular election?

Mar 5, 3:08 PMSep 27, 11:59 PM

53.08%chance

399

OptionVotes

NO

YES

106

94

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