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Prediction markets for Rent

Will Zohran Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?

Nov 8, 8:38 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

86.9%chance

3616852

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2577

389

Will MA legalize rent control in 2026?

Mar 4, 11:05 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

1%chance

410850

OptionVotes

YES

NO

9950

101

Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?

Nov 6, 10:31 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

85%chance

323579

OptionVotes

NO

YES

238

42

Will the Zillow's Rentals Data indicate a decrease in San Francisco's median rent at the end of 2026?

Feb 1, 8:17 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

61.89%chance

151490

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1062

938

Amazon lets me rent a server located in earth orbit by mid 2029

May 12, 7:03 AMJul 1, 6:59 AM

9.95%chance

351230

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1793

847

When will it first be possible to rent an autonomous vehicle to drive between cities in North America without a license?

Feb 21, 12:52 AMJan 1, 3:59 AM

111137

OptionProbability

Before 2031

Before 2030

Before 2029

Before 2028

Before 2027

Before 2026

81

75

66

31

3

0

Will the Supreme Court issue a merits decision that limits or overturns state or local rent-control laws before 2030?

Nov 23, 1:47 AMJan 2, 1:46 AM

33.02%chance

8850

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2129

1474

Will OpenAI spend at least $100B renting servers in 2028?

Sep 21, 8:38 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

49.4%chance

5572

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1012

988

When will it once again be cheaper to own than to rent?

Mar 3, 5:22 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

31.88%chance

2429

OptionVotes

YES

NO

131

120

Will the US Supreme Court substantially strike down rent control during Trump's term?

Jun 27, 1:55 AMJan 20, 11:59 AM

13.74%chance

6373

OptionVotes

YES

NO

431

243

Will average Austin rent be lower Jan 1, 2027 than Jan 1, 2026?

Jan 3, 8:59 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

61.46%chance

7125

OptionVotes

NO

YES

126

79

In 2028 how much will it be to rent the 8x NVIDIA H100 SXM server per hour from LambaLabs

Apr 2, 6:18 AMJan 2, 12:59 PM

6110

OptionProbability

10.4-11.2

11.2-12

12-12.8

12.8-13.6

13.6-14.4

14.4-15.2

15.2-16

16-16.8

16.8-17.6

17.6-18.4

22.4-23.2

19.2-20

0-0.8

0.8-1.6

1.6-2.4

2.4-3.2

3.2-4

4-4.8

4.8-5.6

5.6-6.4

6.4-7.2

7.2-8

8-8.8

8.8-9.6

9.6-10.4

18.4-19.2

20-20.8

20.8-21.6

21.6-22.4

23.2-24

24-24.8

24.8-25.6

25.6-26.4

26.4-27.2

27.2-28

28-28.8

28.8-29.6

29.6-30.4

30.4-31.2

31.2-32

32-32.8

32.8-33.6

33.6-34.4

34.4-35.2

35.2-36

36-36.8

36.8-37.6

37.6-38.4

38.4-39.2

39.2-40

14

14

7

7

7

5

5

5

5

5

4

3

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

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