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What party will hold the House of Representatives after the 2026 midterms

Dec 12, 2:00 PMNov 15, 4:59 AM

148226409

OptionProbability

Democrats

Republicans

88

12

Will Kesha represent the US at Eurovision 2026?

Aug 14, 6:11 AMMay 31, 11:59 PM

2.81%chance

2053457

OptionVotes

YES

NO

58948

1701

Will the Democrats win a majority in the House of Representatives in the 2026 elections?

Jun 12, 12:28 PMNov 15, 11:59 PM

88%chance

4819590

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2709

369

Will the Republicans win a majority in the House of Representatives in the 2026 elections?

Jun 12, 12:29 PMNov 15, 11:59 PM

11.91%chance

2914090

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2720

368

Will Donald Trump be impeached by the House of Representatives during his second term?

Nov 6, 6:44 PMJan 22, 7:59 AM

60.05%chance

396679

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1226

816

Will the House of Representatives begin an impeachment of Donald Trump during his second term?

Nov 6, 4:20 PMJan 9, 7:59 AM

60%chance

302283

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1313

722

Will AI be able to reach a human IRS representative before April 2026?

Feb 1, 4:35 PMApr 2, 6:59 AM

49.13%chance

101574

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1018

983

Will the Australian Labor Party win a majority of seats in the House of Representatives at the next federal election?

Jul 22, 11:40 AMSep 25, 11:37 AM

68.46%chance

7760

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1475

680

Will Matthew McConaughey run for the Senate or the House of Representatives or governor before 2050?

Jan 14, 7:34 PMJan 22, 4:59 AM

34.98%chance

15757

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1008

985

Will the Taliban represent Afghanistan at the United Nations before 2030?

Dec 26, 4:33 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

62.59%chance

17556

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1081

817

By 2040, will a chamber have been found in or under the Great Sphinx that represents a significant discovery?

Aug 9, 7:28 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

32%chance

20333

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1046

971

Will NO foreign leader claim by 31 Dec 2028 that Putin used impersonators, decoys, body doubles to represent Russia?

Jan 9, 7:21 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM

73.25%chance

5156

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1119

953

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