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Prediction markets for representatives

What party will hold the House of Representatives after the 2026 midterms

Dec 12, 2:00 PMNov 15, 4:59 AM

134197475

OptionProbability

Democrats

Republicans

79

21

Will Kesha represent the US at Eurovision 2026?

Aug 14, 6:11 AMMay 31, 11:59 PM

3%chance

1951457

OptionVotes

YES

NO

56862

1759

Will the Republicans win a majority in the House of Representatives in the 2026 elections?

Jun 12, 12:29 PMNov 15, 11:59 PM

17.08%chance

269646

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2203

454

Will Donald Trump be impeached by the House of Representatives during his second term?

Nov 6, 6:44 PMJan 22, 7:59 AM

54.93%chance

365316

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1104

906

Will the Democrats gain 38+ seats in the House of Representatives in the 2026 US midterm elections?

Mar 29, 7:07 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

20.88%chance

284567

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1946

514

Will the House of Representatives begin an impeachment of Donald Trump during his second term?

Nov 6, 4:20 PMJan 9, 7:59 AM

58.22%chance

302067

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1267

750

Will AI be able to reach a human IRS representative before April 2026?

Feb 1, 4:35 PMApr 2, 6:59 AM

54.29%chance

91474

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1090

918

will >=1/2 of people in a representative study be found to have no or minimal internal monologue?

Mar 7, 8:04 AMMar 14, 6:59 AM

19.61%chance

341445

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1219

903

Will the Australian Labor Party win a majority of seats in the House of Representatives at the next federal election?

Jul 22, 11:40 AMSep 25, 11:37 AM

71.73%chance

5709

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1593

628

Will Matthew McConaughey run for the Senate or the House of Representatives or governor before 2050?

Jan 14, 7:34 PMJan 22, 4:59 AM

36.79%chance

14707

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1013

958

Will the Taliban represent Afghanistan at the United Nations before 2030?

Dec 26, 4:33 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

73%chance

16406

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1137

931

By 2040, will a chamber have been found in or under the Great Sphinx that represents a significant discovery?

Aug 9, 7:28 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

32%chance

20333

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1046

971

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